Recent polling shows a tight contest for sixth place among Sweden’s mid-sized parties ahead of the September 13 parliamentary election, with the Green Party, Centre Party, Left Party, and Christian Democrats clustered near 6 percent support. The Social Democrats lead overall while the Sweden Democrats and Moderates follow, but volatility in smaller-party numbers has kept sixth-place probabilities evenly matched in trader assessments. Recent surveys indicate modest shifts within the margin of error, driven by campaign emphasis on cost of living, security, and immigration, alongside the Liberals remaining below the 4 percent threshold. Late movements among these parties or turnout differences in key voter groups could still determine final ranking.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSweden Parliamentary Election: 6th Place
Sweden Parliamentary Election: 6th Place
Green Party (MP) 27%
Centre Party (C) 26%
Left Party (V) 23%
Christian Democrats (KD) 20%
NEW
NEW
Sep 12, 2026
Green Party (MP)
27%
Centre Party (C)
26%
Left Party (V)
23%
Christian Democrats (KD)
20%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
2%
Liberals (L)
1%
Örebropartiet (ÖP)
1%
Moderate Party (M)
<1%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
<1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
Green Party (MP) 27%
Centre Party (C) 26%
Left Party (V) 23%
Christian Democrats (KD) 20%
NEW
NEW
Sep 12, 2026
Green Party (MP)
$1,967 Vol.
27%
Centre Party (C)
$3,509 Vol.
26%
Left Party (V)
$551 Vol.
23%
Christian Democrats (KD)
$523 Vol.
20%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
$353 Vol.
2%
Liberals (L)
$566 Vol.
1%
Örebropartiet (ÖP)
$0 Vol.
1%
Moderate Party (M)
$359 Vol.
<1%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
$1,447 Vol.
<1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
$236 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the sixth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If fewer than six parties win seats in the Riksdag, or if voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the sixth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling shows a tight contest for sixth place among Sweden’s mid-sized parties ahead of the September 13 parliamentary election, with the Green Party, Centre Party, Left Party, and Christian Democrats clustered near 6 percent support. The Social Democrats lead overall while the Sweden Democrats and Moderates follow, but volatility in smaller-party numbers has kept sixth-place probabilities evenly matched in trader assessments. Recent surveys indicate modest shifts within the margin of error, driven by campaign emphasis on cost of living, security, and immigration, alongside the Liberals remaining below the 4 percent threshold. Late movements among these parties or turnout differences in key voter groups could still determine final ranking.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the sixth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If fewer than six parties win seats in the Riksdag, or if voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the sixth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the sixth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If fewer than six parties win seats in the Riksdag, or if voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the sixth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 5:07 AM ET
Volume
$9,512End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 5:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the sixth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If fewer than six parties win seats in the Riksdag, or if voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the sixth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling shows a tight contest for sixth place among Sweden’s mid-sized parties ahead of the September 13 parliamentary election, with the Green Party, Centre Party, Left Party, and Christian Democrats clustered near 6 percent support. The Social Democrats lead overall while the Sweden Democrats and Moderates follow, but volatility in smaller-party numbers has kept sixth-place probabilities evenly matched in trader assessments. Recent surveys indicate modest shifts within the margin of error, driven by campaign emphasis on cost of living, security, and immigration, alongside the Liberals remaining below the 4 percent threshold. Late movements among these parties or turnout differences in key voter groups could still determine final ranking.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the sixth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If fewer than six parties win seats in the Riksdag, or if voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the sixth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the sixth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If fewer than six parties win seats in the Riksdag, or if voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the sixth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$9,512End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 5:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows a tight contest for sixth place among Sweden’s mid-sized parties ahead of the September 13 parliamentary election, with the Green Party, Centre Party, Left Party, and Christian Democrats clustered near 6 percent support. The Social Democrats lead overall while the Sweden Democrats and Moderates follow, but volatility in smaller-party numbers has kept sixth-place probabilities evenly matched in trader assessments. Recent surveys indicate modest shifts within the margin of error, driven by campaign emphasis on cost of living, security, and immigration, alongside the Liberals remaining below the 4 percent threshold. Late movements among these parties or turnout differences in key voter groups could still determine final ranking.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions