Recent polls place the Social Democrats, Sweden Democrats, and Moderates comfortably ahead, leaving the Left Party, Green Party, Centre Party, and Christian Democrats clustered between roughly 6% and 8% and competing for fourth through seventh. This narrow band keeps the 5th-place outcome fluid, with traders assigning the Green Party, Centre, and Left the highest implied probabilities while viewing the Christian Democrats as more distant. The Liberals remain well below the 4% threshold, and larger parties show negligible odds. Minor shifts in turnout among urban or environmental voters, or last-minute campaign focus on climate and welfare issues before the September 13 vote, could separate these mid-tier parties in final rankings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGreen Party (MP) 27%
Centre Party (C) 24%
Left Party (V) 24%
Christian Democrats (KD) 14%
$14,531 Vol.
$14,531 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
Green Party (MP)
27%
Centre Party (C)
24%
Left Party (V)
24%
Christian Democrats (KD)
14%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
<1%
Moderate Party (M)
<1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
Liberals (L)
<1%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
<1%
Green Party (MP) 27%
Centre Party (C) 24%
Left Party (V) 24%
Christian Democrats (KD) 14%
$14,531 Vol.
$14,531 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
Green Party (MP)
$2,355 Vol.
27%
Centre Party (C)
$2,599 Vol.
24%
Left Party (V)
$2,492 Vol.
24%
Christian Democrats (KD)
$3,058 Vol.
14%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
$967 Vol.
<1%
Moderate Party (M)
$1,121 Vol.
<1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
$738 Vol.
<1%
Liberals (L)
$556 Vol.
<1%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
$646 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fifth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fifth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polls place the Social Democrats, Sweden Democrats, and Moderates comfortably ahead, leaving the Left Party, Green Party, Centre Party, and Christian Democrats clustered between roughly 6% and 8% and competing for fourth through seventh. This narrow band keeps the 5th-place outcome fluid, with traders assigning the Green Party, Centre, and Left the highest implied probabilities while viewing the Christian Democrats as more distant. The Liberals remain well below the 4% threshold, and larger parties show negligible odds. Minor shifts in turnout among urban or environmental voters, or last-minute campaign focus on climate and welfare issues before the September 13 vote, could separate these mid-tier parties in final rankings.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fifth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fifth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fifth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fifth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 5:05 AM ET
Volume
$14,531End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 5:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fifth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fifth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polls place the Social Democrats, Sweden Democrats, and Moderates comfortably ahead, leaving the Left Party, Green Party, Centre Party, and Christian Democrats clustered between roughly 6% and 8% and competing for fourth through seventh. This narrow band keeps the 5th-place outcome fluid, with traders assigning the Green Party, Centre, and Left the highest implied probabilities while viewing the Christian Democrats as more distant. The Liberals remain well below the 4% threshold, and larger parties show negligible odds. Minor shifts in turnout among urban or environmental voters, or last-minute campaign focus on climate and welfare issues before the September 13 vote, could separate these mid-tier parties in final rankings.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fifth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fifth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fifth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fifth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$14,531End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 5:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls place the Social Democrats, Sweden Democrats, and Moderates comfortably ahead, leaving the Left Party, Green Party, Centre Party, and Christian Democrats clustered between roughly 6% and 8% and competing for fourth through seventh. This narrow band keeps the 5th-place outcome fluid, with traders assigning the Green Party, Centre, and Left the highest implied probabilities while viewing the Christian Democrats as more distant. The Liberals remain well below the 4% threshold, and larger parties show negligible odds. Minor shifts in turnout among urban or environmental voters, or last-minute campaign focus on climate and welfare issues before the September 13 vote, could separate these mid-tier parties in final rankings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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