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Politics·Canada

Guelph, ON Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Guelph, ON Mayoral Election Winner
Politics·Canada

Guelph, ON Mayoral Election Winner

Leanne Caron 51%

Ken Yee Chew 45%

Ryan Meunier 5%

Evaristo Ramos Jr. 2.1%

Polymarket
NEW

Leanne Caron 51%

Ken Yee Chew 45%

Ryan Meunier 5%

Evaristo Ramos Jr. 2.1%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Leanne Caron

Leanne Caron

$3,483 Vol.

51%

icon for Ken Yee Chew

Ken Yee Chew

$2,253 Vol.

45%

icon for Ryan Meunier

Ryan Meunier

$226 Vol.

5%

icon for Evaristo Ramos Jr.

Evaristo Ramos Jr.

$232 Vol.

2%

icon for Rajee Sinha

Rajee Sinha

$232 Vol.

1%

icon for John Edward Krusky

John Edward Krusky

$208 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Guelph, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Guelph, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Guelph, Ontario.The open mayoral seat following incumbent Cam Guthrie’s decision not to seek re-election has produced a competitive contest centered on sitting councillors Leanne Caron and Ken Yee Chew. Caron, with nearly two decades of council experience and an early announcement, holds a modest edge in trader pricing over Chew, who entered in June citing a leadership vacuum and emphasizing responsible government and community focus. The remaining four candidates trail sharply, consistent with limited prior visibility or electoral records. Nominations closed only days ago with no public polling, major endorsements, or high-profile debates yet available, which has kept probabilities clustered near even for the frontrunners. Scheduled town halls, platform releases on affordability and housing, and shifts in local coverage ahead of advance voting in mid-October represent the main near-term catalysts that could create separation.

The 2026 Guelph, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Guelph, Ontario as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Guelph, Ontario.
Volume
$6,633
End Date
Oct 26, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 2:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Guelph, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Guelph, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Guelph, Ontario.
The 2026 Guelph, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Guelph, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Guelph, Ontario.The open mayoral seat following incumbent Cam Guthrie’s decision not to seek re-election has produced a competitive contest centered on sitting councillors Leanne Caron and Ken Yee Chew. Caron, with nearly two decades of council experience and an early announcement, holds a modest edge in trader pricing over Chew, who entered in June citing a leadership vacuum and emphasizing responsible government and community focus. The remaining four candidates trail sharply, consistent with limited prior visibility or electoral records. Nominations closed only days ago with no public polling, major endorsements, or high-profile debates yet available, which has kept probabilities clustered near even for the frontrunners. Scheduled town halls, platform releases on affordability and housing, and shifts in local coverage ahead of advance voting in mid-October represent the main near-term catalysts that could create separation.

The 2026 Guelph, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Guelph, Ontario as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Guelph, Ontario.
Volume
$6,633
End Date
Oct 26, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 2:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Guelph, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Guelph, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Guelph, Ontario.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Guelph, ON Mayoral Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Leanne Caron" at 51%, followed by "Ken Yee Chew" at 45%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 51¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Guelph, ON Mayoral Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 24, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Guelph, ON Mayoral Election Winner," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Guelph, ON Mayoral Election Winner" is "Leanne Caron" at 51%, meaning the market assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ken Yee Chew" at 45%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Guelph, ON Mayoral Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.