Recent polls ahead of Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election show the Social Democrats leading with around 31%, followed closely by the Sweden Democrats at roughly 19-20% and the Moderates at 18-19%. The Moderate Party has posted modest gains in the latest Indikator Opinion survey, narrowing the gap with the Sweden Democrats and positioning it as the likeliest third-place finisher in trader assessments. The Sweden Democrats remain competitive for second or third depending on final turnout and smaller-party performance, while parties such as the Left, Greens, and Centre poll in the mid-single digits. The Liberals stay below the four-percent threshold, reducing their prospects of influencing bloc totals or placement. These trends reflect the tightening contest between the Tidö-aligned parties and the centre-left opposition in the final weeks of campaigning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Sweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Moderate Party (M) 67%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 32%
Left Party (V) <1%
Green Party (MP) <1%
$55,079 Vol.
$55,079 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
<1%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
32%
Moderate Party (M)
67%
Centre Party (C)
<1%
Left Party (V)
1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
<1%
Green Party (MP)
<1%
Liberals (L)
<1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
Moderate Party (M) 67%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 32%
Left Party (V) <1%
Green Party (MP) <1%
$55,079 Vol.
$55,079 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
$5,472 Vol.
<1%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
$9,717 Vol.
32%
Moderate Party (M)
$18,204 Vol.
67%
Centre Party (C)
$3,734 Vol.
<1%
Left Party (V)
$4,769 Vol.
1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
$2,569 Vol.
<1%
Green Party (MP)
$3,997 Vol.
<1%
Liberals (L)
$3,106 Vol.
<1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
$3,511 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polls ahead of Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election show the Social Democrats leading with around 31%, followed closely by the Sweden Democrats at roughly 19-20% and the Moderates at 18-19%. The Moderate Party has posted modest gains in the latest Indikator Opinion survey, narrowing the gap with the Sweden Democrats and positioning it as the likeliest third-place finisher in trader assessments. The Sweden Democrats remain competitive for second or third depending on final turnout and smaller-party performance, while parties such as the Left, Greens, and Centre poll in the mid-single digits. The Liberals stay below the four-percent threshold, reducing their prospects of influencing bloc totals or placement. These trends reflect the tightening contest between the Tidö-aligned parties and the centre-left opposition in the final weeks of campaigning.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Market Opened: May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Volume
$55,079End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polls ahead of Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election show the Social Democrats leading with around 31%, followed closely by the Sweden Democrats at roughly 19-20% and the Moderates at 18-19%. The Moderate Party has posted modest gains in the latest Indikator Opinion survey, narrowing the gap with the Sweden Democrats and positioning it as the likeliest third-place finisher in trader assessments. The Sweden Democrats remain competitive for second or third depending on final turnout and smaller-party performance, while parties such as the Left, Greens, and Centre poll in the mid-single digits. The Liberals stay below the four-percent threshold, reducing their prospects of influencing bloc totals or placement. These trends reflect the tightening contest between the Tidö-aligned parties and the centre-left opposition in the final weeks of campaigning.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$55,079End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election show the Social Democrats leading with around 31%, followed closely by the Sweden Democrats at roughly 19-20% and the Moderates at 18-19%. The Moderate Party has posted modest gains in the latest Indikator Opinion survey, narrowing the gap with the Sweden Democrats and positioning it as the likeliest third-place finisher in trader assessments. The Sweden Democrats remain competitive for second or third depending on final turnout and smaller-party performance, while parties such as the Left, Greens, and Centre poll in the mid-single digits. The Liberals stay below the four-percent threshold, reducing their prospects of influencing bloc totals or placement. These trends reflect the tightening contest between the Tidö-aligned parties and the centre-left opposition in the final weeks of campaigning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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