The deep, star-studded LPGA field at TPC Boston features 23 of the top 25 players and 13 of the season’s winners, including Nelly Korda, Jeeno Thitikul, Haeran Ryu, Miyu Yamashita, and defending champion Miranda Wang, creating parity that keeps second-round leader probabilities tightly bunched near 50 percent across dozens of entrants. With Round 1 tee times set for August 27 and no dominant recent form or course-specific edge separating contenders, traders view early scoring as highly variable on the Arnold Palmer/Gil Hanse layout. Factors such as variable weather, pace-of-play dynamics, and the pre-Solheim Cup motivation level further flatten implied probabilities, as any player from the large group of in-form competitors—including recent winners like Lauren Coughlin and Lottie Woad—can post a low round to seize the lead after 36 holes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAllisen Corpuz 100%
Amanda Doherty 100%
Arpichaya Yubol 100%
Ashleigh Buhai 100%
Allisen Corpuz
100%
Amanda Doherty
100%
Arpichaya Yubol
100%
Ashleigh Buhai
100%
Atthaya Thitikul
100%
Auston Kim
100%
Brooke Henderson
100%
A-Lim Kim
100%
Aditi Ashok
100%
Akie Iwai
100%
Alexa Pano
100%
Amy Yang
100%
Jing Yan
100%
Jodi Ewart
100%
Julia Lopez
100%
Karis Davidson
100%
Katie Lu
100%
Laetitia Beck
100%
Laney Frye
100%
Jenny Bae
100%
Lindy Duncan
100%
Linn Grant
100%
Linnea Stroem
100%
Lizette Salas
100%
Lottie Woad
100%
Lucy Li
100%
Lydia Ko
100%
Manon de Roey
100%
Mao Saigo
100%
Mary Liu
100%
Maude-Aimee Leblanc
100%
Megan Khang
100%
Melanie Green
100%
Mi-Hyang Lee
100%
Mimi Rhodes
100%
Min-Jee Lee
100%
Minami Katsu
100%
Miyu Yamashita
100%
Morgane Metraux
100%
Moriya Jutanugarn
100%
Na-Rin An
100%
Nanna Koerstz Madsen
100%
Ana Belac
100%
Andrea Lee
100%
Angel Yin
100%
Ayaka Furue
100%
Benedetta Moresco
100%
Brooke Matthews
100%
Carla Tejedo
100%
Charley Hull
100%
Chella Choi
100%
Esther Henseleit
100%
Jeong-Eun Lee
100%
Jessica Porvasnik
100%
Ji-Won Jeon
100%
Jin-Hee Im
100%
Jin-Young Ko
100%
Lauren Coughlin
100%
Carlota Ciganda
100%
Carolina Melgrati
100%
Cassie Porter
100%
Chanettee Wannasaen
100%
Chiara Tamburlini
100%
Chisato Iwai
100%
Daniela Darquea
100%
Emily Kristine Pedersen
100%
Frida Kinhult
100%
Gaby Lopez
100%
Gemma Dryburgh
100%
Grace Kim
100%
Gurleen Kaur
100%
Hailee Cooper
100%
Hannah Green
100%
Helen Briem
100%
Hinako Shibuno
100%
Hye-Jin Choi
100%
Hyo-Joo Kim
100%
Ina Yoon
100%
Ingrid Lindblad
100%
Isabell Gabsa
100%
Jennifer Kupcho
100%
Jenny Shin
100%
Kiara Romero
100%
Kum-Kang Park
100%
Lexi Thompson
100%
Lilia Vu
100%
Anna Nordqvist
99%
Ariya Jutanugarn
99%
Brianna Do
99%
Min-Ji Kang
99%
Briana Chacon
99%
Erika Hara
99%
Celine Borge
99%
Celine Boutier
99%
Dewi Weber
99%
Dong-Eun Lee
99%
Gabriela Ruffels
99%
Georgia Hall
99%
Gina Kim
99%
Hae-Ran Ryu
99%
Allisen Corpuz 100%
Amanda Doherty 100%
Arpichaya Yubol 100%
Ashleigh Buhai 100%
Allisen Corpuz
100%
Amanda Doherty
100%
Arpichaya Yubol
100%
Ashleigh Buhai
100%
Atthaya Thitikul
100%
Auston Kim
100%
Brooke Henderson
100%
A-Lim Kim
100%
Aditi Ashok
100%
Akie Iwai
100%
Alexa Pano
100%
Amy Yang
100%
Jing Yan
100%
Jodi Ewart
100%
Julia Lopez
100%
Karis Davidson
100%
Katie Lu
100%
Laetitia Beck
100%
Laney Frye
100%
Jenny Bae
100%
Lindy Duncan
100%
Linn Grant
100%
Linnea Stroem
100%
Lizette Salas
100%
Lottie Woad
100%
Lucy Li
100%
Lydia Ko
100%
Manon de Roey
100%
Mao Saigo
100%
Mary Liu
100%
Maude-Aimee Leblanc
100%
Megan Khang
100%
Melanie Green
100%
Mi-Hyang Lee
100%
Mimi Rhodes
100%
Min-Jee Lee
100%
Minami Katsu
100%
Miyu Yamashita
100%
Morgane Metraux
100%
Moriya Jutanugarn
100%
Na-Rin An
100%
Nanna Koerstz Madsen
100%
Ana Belac
100%
Andrea Lee
100%
Angel Yin
100%
Ayaka Furue
100%
Benedetta Moresco
100%
Brooke Matthews
100%
Carla Tejedo
100%
Charley Hull
100%
Chella Choi
100%
Esther Henseleit
100%
Jeong-Eun Lee
100%
Jessica Porvasnik
100%
Ji-Won Jeon
100%
Jin-Hee Im
100%
Jin-Young Ko
100%
Lauren Coughlin
100%
Carlota Ciganda
100%
Carolina Melgrati
100%
Cassie Porter
100%
Chanettee Wannasaen
100%
Chiara Tamburlini
100%
Chisato Iwai
100%
Daniela Darquea
100%
Emily Kristine Pedersen
100%
Frida Kinhult
100%
Gaby Lopez
100%
Gemma Dryburgh
100%
Grace Kim
100%
Gurleen Kaur
100%
Hailee Cooper
100%
Hannah Green
100%
Helen Briem
100%
Hinako Shibuno
100%
Hye-Jin Choi
100%
Hyo-Joo Kim
100%
Ina Yoon
100%
Ingrid Lindblad
100%
Isabell Gabsa
100%
Jennifer Kupcho
100%
Jenny Shin
100%
Kiara Romero
100%
Kum-Kang Park
100%
Lexi Thompson
100%
Lilia Vu
100%
Anna Nordqvist
99%
Ariya Jutanugarn
99%
Brianna Do
99%
Min-Ji Kang
99%
Briana Chacon
99%
Erika Hara
99%
Celine Borge
99%
Celine Boutier
99%
Dewi Weber
99%
Dong-Eun Lee
99%
Gabriela Ruffels
99%
Georgia Hall
99%
Gina Kim
99%
Hae-Ran Ryu
99%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FM Championship is cancelled, postponed after September 13, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 2 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 11:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.lpga.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FM Championship is cancelled, postponed after September 13, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 2 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
Resolution Source
https://www.lpga.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The deep, star-studded LPGA field at TPC Boston features 23 of the top 25 players and 13 of the season’s winners, including Nelly Korda, Jeeno Thitikul, Haeran Ryu, Miyu Yamashita, and defending champion Miranda Wang, creating parity that keeps second-round leader probabilities tightly bunched near 50 percent across dozens of entrants. With Round 1 tee times set for August 27 and no dominant recent form or course-specific edge separating contenders, traders view early scoring as highly variable on the Arnold Palmer/Gil Hanse layout. Factors such as variable weather, pace-of-play dynamics, and the pre-Solheim Cup motivation level further flatten implied probabilities, as any player from the large group of in-form competitors—including recent winners like Lauren Coughlin and Lottie Woad—can post a low round to seize the lead after 36 holes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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