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Sports·Golf

LPGA: FM Championship Winner

icon for LPGA: FM Championship Winner
Sports·Golf

LPGA: FM Championship Winner

Winner

Top 5

Top 10

Top 20

Winner

Top 5

Top 10

Top 20

Atthaya Thitikul 11%

Hae-Ran Ryu 6%

Miyu Yamashita 5%

Min-Jee Lee 3.4%

Polymarket
NEW

Atthaya Thitikul 11%

Hae-Ran Ryu 6%

Miyu Yamashita 5%

Min-Jee Lee 3.4%

Polymarket
NEW

Atthaya Thitikul

$5 Vol.

11%

Hae-Ran Ryu

$5 Vol.

6%

Miyu Yamashita

$5 Vol.

5%

Min-Jee Lee

$10 Vol.

3%

Linn Grant

$10 Vol.

3%

Kiara Romero

$10 Vol.

3%

Erika Hara

$10 Vol.

3%

Jenny Shin

$10 Vol.

3%

Grace Kim

$10 Vol.

3%

Jin-Young Ko

$10 Vol.

3%

Karis Davidson

$10 Vol.

3%

Nanna Koerstz Madsen

$10 Vol.

3%

Cassie Porter

$10 Vol.

3%

Na-Rin An

$10 Vol.

3%

Brooke Henderson

$5 Vol.

3%

Georgia Hall

$10 Vol.

3%

Gina Kim

$10 Vol.

3%

Brooke Matthews

$10 Vol.

3%

Chella Choi

$10 Vol.

3%

Chiara Tamburlini

$10 Vol.

3%

Daniela Darquea

$10 Vol.

3%

Dewi Weber

$10 Vol.

3%

Ingrid Lindblad

$10 Vol.

3%

Carolina Melgrati

$10 Vol.

3%

Frida Kinhult

$10 Vol.

3%

Gabriela Ruffels

$10 Vol.

3%

Gemma Dryburgh

$10 Vol.

3%

Hailee Cooper

$10 Vol.

3%

Hinako Shibuno

$10 Vol.

3%

Hyo-Joo Kim

$5 Vol.

3%

Isabell Gabsa

$10 Vol.

3%

Jeong-Eun Lee

$10 Vol.

3%

Jessica Porvasnik

$10 Vol.

3%

Mi-Hyang Lee

$10 Vol.

3%

Min-Ji Kang

$10 Vol.

3%

Moriya Jutanugarn

$10 Vol.

3%

Jing Yan

$10 Vol.

3%

Jodi Ewart

$10 Vol.

3%

Julia Lopez

$10 Vol.

3%

Katie Lu

$10 Vol.

3%

Kum-Kang Park

$10 Vol.

3%

Lindy Duncan

$10 Vol.

3%

Lizette Salas

$10 Vol.

3%

Manon de Roey

$10 Vol.

3%

Mary Liu

$10 Vol.

3%

Maude-Aimee Leblanc

$10 Vol.

3%

Mimi Rhodes

$10 Vol.

3%

Morgane Metraux

$10 Vol.

3%

Emily Kristine Pedersen

$10 Vol.

3%

Gurleen Kaur

$10 Vol.

3%

Celine Borge

$10 Vol.

3%

Helen Briem

$10 Vol.

3%

Jenny Bae

$10 Vol.

3%

Ji-Won Jeon

$10 Vol.

3%

Melanie Green

$10 Vol.

3%

Laney Frye

$10 Vol.

3%

Lexi Thompson

$10 Vol.

3%

Lucy Li

$10 Vol.

3%

Lydia Ko

$5 Vol.

2%

Lottie Woad

$5 Vol.

2%

Charley Hull

$5 Vol.

2%

Hannah Green

$5 Vol.

2%

Arpichaya Yubol

$5 Vol.

2%

Chisato Iwai

$5 Vol.

2%

Chanettee Wannasaen

$5 Vol.

2%

Mao Saigo

$5 Vol.

2%

Andrea Lee

$5 Vol.

2%

Ariya Jutanugarn

$5 Vol.

2%

Dong-Eun Lee

$5 Vol.

2%

Allisen Corpuz

$5 Vol.

2%

Angel Yin

$5 Vol.

2%

Hye-Jin Choi

$5 Vol.

2%

Ina Yoon

$5 Vol.

2%

Amy Yang

$5 Vol.

1%

Celine Boutier

$5 Vol.

1%

Briana Chacon

$5 Vol.

1%

Brianna Do

$5 Vol.

1%

Ashleigh Buhai

$5 Vol.

1%

Carlota Ciganda

$5 Vol.

1%

Jennifer Kupcho

$5 Vol.

1%

Laetitia Beck

$5 Vol.

1%

Lilia Vu

$5 Vol.

1%

Linnea Stroem

$5 Vol.

1%

Megan Khang

$5 Vol.

1%

Aditi Ashok

$5 Vol.

1%

Alexa Pano

$5 Vol.

1%

Anna Nordqvist

$5 Vol.

1%

Ana Belac

$5 Vol.

1%

Benedetta Moresco

$5 Vol.

1%

Carla Tejedo

$5 Vol.

1%

Amanda Doherty

$5 Vol.

1%

A-Lim Kim

$5 Vol.

1%

Lauren Coughlin

$5 Vol.

1%

Gaby Lopez

$5 Vol.

1%

Jin-Hee Im

$5 Vol.

1%

Akie Iwai

$5 Vol.

1%

Auston Kim

$5 Vol.

1%

Esther Henseleit

$5 Vol.

1%

Ayaka Furue

$5 Vol.

1%

Minami Katsu

$5 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 FM Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the FM Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the FM Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by LPGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by September 6, 2026 at 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the LPGA Tour website (https://www.lpga.com/).**Atthaya Thitikul leads the market at 10% implied probability** as the consensus favorite heading into the FM Championship at TPC Boston, buoyed by her recent Portland Classic victory—her third LPGA win of 2026 and 10th career title—along with strong major contention and consistent top finishes. Miyu Yamashita sits at 6.5% on the strength of her wire-to-wire, nine-shot CPKC Women’s Open triumph that tied the LPGA 72-hole scoring record, giving her fresh momentum into the $4.4 million event. Haeran Ryu follows at 6% as the third-ranked player with proven results in strong fields. The rest of the deep leaderboard, featuring all top-10 Rolex-ranked golfers plus 13 of this season’s winners, spreads probability thinly because TPC Boston’s layout and the 144-player field reward current form, course management, and ball-striking consistency more than any single historical edge.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 FM Championship tournament.

If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the FM Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".

If an unlisted player wins the FM Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by LPGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If no winner is announced by September 6, 2026 at 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the LPGA Tour website (https://www.lpga.com/).
Volume
$765
End Date
Aug 31, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 11:00 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.lpga.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 FM Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the FM Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the FM Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by LPGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by September 6, 2026 at 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the LPGA Tour website (https://www.lpga.com/).
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 FM Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the FM Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the FM Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by LPGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by September 6, 2026 at 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the LPGA Tour website (https://www.lpga.com/).**Atthaya Thitikul leads the market at 10% implied probability** as the consensus favorite heading into the FM Championship at TPC Boston, buoyed by her recent Portland Classic victory—her third LPGA win of 2026 and 10th career title—along with strong major contention and consistent top finishes. Miyu Yamashita sits at 6.5% on the strength of her wire-to-wire, nine-shot CPKC Women’s Open triumph that tied the LPGA 72-hole scoring record, giving her fresh momentum into the $4.4 million event. Haeran Ryu follows at 6% as the third-ranked player with proven results in strong fields. The rest of the deep leaderboard, featuring all top-10 Rolex-ranked golfers plus 13 of this season’s winners, spreads probability thinly because TPC Boston’s layout and the 144-player field reward current form, course management, and ball-striking consistency more than any single historical edge.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 FM Championship tournament.

If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the FM Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".

If an unlisted player wins the FM Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by LPGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If no winner is announced by September 6, 2026 at 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the LPGA Tour website (https://www.lpga.com/).
Volume
$765
End Date
Aug 31, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 11:00 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.lpga.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 FM Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the FM Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the FM Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by LPGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by September 6, 2026 at 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the LPGA Tour website (https://www.lpga.com/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"LPGA: FM Championship Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 100+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Atthaya Thitikul" at 11%, followed by "Hae-Ran Ryu" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 11¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 11% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"LPGA: FM Championship Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 24, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "LPGA: FM Championship Winner," browse the 100+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "LPGA: FM Championship Winner" is "Atthaya Thitikul" at 11%, meaning the market assigns a 11% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Hae-Ran Ryu" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "LPGA: FM Championship Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.