Recent trader sentiment for Meta’s end-of-October market cap centers on the August settlement of the multi-state child safety litigation for roughly $18 billion, which eliminated a major overhang and triggered an immediate stock rebound above $570. Strong Q2 revenue growth of 28% year-over-year, fueled by AI-driven ad targeting and recommendation algorithms across Facebook and Instagram, continues to support the core business, while upcoming launches of a consumer AI agent and the Watermelon large language model in October add near-term catalysts. Offsetting these are elevated 2026 capex for data-center infrastructure and AI models such as Muse Spark, which has compressed free cash flow. The resulting market-implied odds cluster around the $1.75–2.00 trillion range, reflecting expectations that AI monetization progress and legal clarity can lift valuation modestly over the next two months despite margin pressure.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1.75-$2.00T 45%
<$1.00T 25.9%
$2.25T+ 25.4%
$1.50-$1.75T 23%
NEW
NEW
Oct 31, 2026
<$1.00T
26%
$1.00-$1.25T
14%
$1.25-$1.50T
20%
$1.50-$1.75T
23%
$1.75-$2.00T
45%
$2.00-$2.25T
22%
$2.25T+
25%
$1.75-$2.00T 45%
<$1.00T 25.9%
$2.25T+ 25.4%
$1.50-$1.75T 23%
NEW
NEW
Oct 31, 2026
<$1.00T
$20 Vol.
26%
$1.00-$1.25T
$404 Vol.
14%
$1.25-$1.50T
$0 Vol.
20%
$1.50-$1.75T
$0 Vol.
23%
$1.75-$2.00T
$0 Vol.
45%
$2.00-$2.25T
$0 Vol.
22%
$2.25T+
$0 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve according to Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Recent trader sentiment for Meta’s end-of-October market cap centers on the August settlement of the multi-state child safety litigation for roughly $18 billion, which eliminated a major overhang and triggered an immediate stock rebound above $570. Strong Q2 revenue growth of 28% year-over-year, fueled by AI-driven ad targeting and recommendation algorithms across Facebook and Instagram, continues to support the core business, while upcoming launches of a consumer AI agent and the Watermelon large language model in October add near-term catalysts. Offsetting these are elevated 2026 capex for data-center infrastructure and AI models such as Muse Spark, which has compressed free cash flow. The resulting market-implied odds cluster around the $1.75–2.00 trillion range, reflecting expectations that AI monetization progress and legal clarity can lift valuation modestly over the next two months despite margin pressure.
This market will resolve according to Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
Volume
$424End Date
Oct 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Recent trader sentiment for Meta’s end-of-October market cap centers on the August settlement of the multi-state child safety litigation for roughly $18 billion, which eliminated a major overhang and triggered an immediate stock rebound above $570. Strong Q2 revenue growth of 28% year-over-year, fueled by AI-driven ad targeting and recommendation algorithms across Facebook and Instagram, continues to support the core business, while upcoming launches of a consumer AI agent and the Watermelon large language model in October add near-term catalysts. Offsetting these are elevated 2026 capex for data-center infrastructure and AI models such as Muse Spark, which has compressed free cash flow. The resulting market-implied odds cluster around the $1.75–2.00 trillion range, reflecting expectations that AI monetization progress and legal clarity can lift valuation modestly over the next two months despite margin pressure.
This market will resolve according to Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Volume
$424End Date
Oct 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent trader sentiment for Meta’s end-of-October market cap centers on the August settlement of the multi-state child safety litigation for roughly $18 billion, which eliminated a major overhang and triggered an immediate stock rebound above $570. Strong Q2 revenue growth of 28% year-over-year, fueled by AI-driven ad targeting and recommendation algorithms across Facebook and Instagram, continues to support the core business, while upcoming launches of a consumer AI agent and the Watermelon large language model in October add near-term catalysts. Offsetting these are elevated 2026 capex for data-center infrastructure and AI models such as Muse Spark, which has compressed free cash flow. The resulting market-implied odds cluster around the $1.75–2.00 trillion range, reflecting expectations that AI monetization progress and legal clarity can lift valuation modestly over the next two months despite margin pressure.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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