The 2026 AL pennant race remains tightly contested entering the final month, with the Rays holding the best record at 80-54 and strong recent form, the Yankees close behind at 76-58 despite key injuries to Aaron Judge and rotation depth, and the Red Sox maintaining solid positioning at 73-61. Competitive AL Central and West standings feature the White Sox atop their division and the Astros holding a narrow edge in theirs, creating multiple realistic paths through division titles or wild cards. Strong run differentials across the top contenders, combined with uncertain late-season health and schedule strength, underpin the bunched implied probabilities reflected in current trader consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMLB: 2026 American League Champion
MLB: 2026 American League Champion
New York Yankees 22%
Tampa Bay Rays 19.2%
Boston Red Sox 13.3%
Chicago White Sox 9.4%
$4,274,756 Vol.
$4,274,756 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
New York Yankees
22%
Tampa Bay Rays
19%
Boston Red Sox
13%
Chicago White Sox
9%
Houston Astros
8%
Seattle Mariners
6%
Cleveland Guardians
6%
Texas Rangers
4%
Toronto Blue Jays
2%
Detroit Tigers
2%
Minnesota Twins
1%
Baltimore Orioles
1%
Los Angeles Angels
<1%
Athletics
<1%
Kansas City Royals
<1%
New York Yankees 22%
Tampa Bay Rays 19.2%
Boston Red Sox 13.3%
Chicago White Sox 9.4%
$4,274,756 Vol.
$4,274,756 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
New York Yankees
$58,401 Vol.
22%
Tampa Bay Rays
$405,262 Vol.
19%
Boston Red Sox
$58,579 Vol.
13%
Chicago White Sox
$252,354 Vol.
9%
Houston Astros
$782,955 Vol.
8%
Seattle Mariners
$40,226 Vol.
6%
Cleveland Guardians
$739,498 Vol.
6%
Texas Rangers
$27,713 Vol.
4%
Toronto Blue Jays
$153,318 Vol.
2%
Detroit Tigers
$121,452 Vol.
2%
Minnesota Twins
$253,548 Vol.
1%
Baltimore Orioles
$67,926 Vol.
1%
Los Angeles Angels
$309,885 Vol.
<1%
Athletics
$155,477 Vol.
<1%
Kansas City Royals
$848,162 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 AL pennant race remains tightly contested entering the final month, with the Rays holding the best record at 80-54 and strong recent form, the Yankees close behind at 76-58 despite key injuries to Aaron Judge and rotation depth, and the Red Sox maintaining solid positioning at 73-61. Competitive AL Central and West standings feature the White Sox atop their division and the Astros holding a narrow edge in theirs, creating multiple realistic paths through division titles or wild cards. Strong run differentials across the top contenders, combined with uncertain late-season health and schedule strength, underpin the bunched implied probabilities reflected in current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 19, 2026, 11:07 AM ET
Volume
$4,274,756End Date
Nov 1, 2026Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 11:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 AL pennant race remains tightly contested entering the final month, with the Rays holding the best record at 80-54 and strong recent form, the Yankees close behind at 76-58 despite key injuries to Aaron Judge and rotation depth, and the Red Sox maintaining solid positioning at 73-61. Competitive AL Central and West standings feature the White Sox atop their division and the Astros holding a narrow edge in theirs, creating multiple realistic paths through division titles or wild cards. Strong run differentials across the top contenders, combined with uncertain late-season health and schedule strength, underpin the bunched implied probabilities reflected in current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,274,756End Date
Nov 1, 2026Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 11:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 AL pennant race remains tightly contested entering the final month, with the Rays holding the best record at 80-54 and strong recent form, the Yankees close behind at 76-58 despite key injuries to Aaron Judge and rotation depth, and the Red Sox maintaining solid positioning at 73-61. Competitive AL Central and West standings feature the White Sox atop their division and the Astros holding a narrow edge in theirs, creating multiple realistic paths through division titles or wild cards. Strong run differentials across the top contenders, combined with uncertain late-season health and schedule strength, underpin the bunched implied probabilities reflected in current trader consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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