Yordan Alvarez commands the AL Comeback Player of the Year market at 79% implied probability after missing most of 2025 with injuries that limited him to 48 games. His 2026 campaign features AL-leading marks in batting average (.320+), home runs (36), and RBIs (90+), alongside elite on-base and slugging figures that have him atop MVP polls and in Triple Crown contention. This offensive dominance from a healthy designated hitter and outfielder has solidified trader consensus. Gerrit Cole sits at 9% on his return from prior arm issues, while Mike Trout (4%) and others like Adley Rutschman trail further behind, as Alvarez’s sustained production and historical performance rebound define the pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedYordan Alvarez 82%
Gerrit Cole 9.1%
Mike Trout 4.0%
Adley Rutschman 1.8%
NEW
NEW
Dec 18, 2026
Yordan Alvarez
82%
Gerrit Cole
9%
Mike Trout
4%
Adley Rutschman
2%
Kristian Campbell
2%
Anthony Volpe
2%
Zack Gelof
2%
Anthony Santander
1%
Jonathan India
<1%
Yordan Alvarez 82%
Gerrit Cole 9.1%
Mike Trout 4.0%
Adley Rutschman 1.8%
NEW
NEW
Dec 18, 2026
Yordan Alvarez
$3,650 Vol.
82%
Gerrit Cole
$399 Vol.
9%
Mike Trout
$130 Vol.
4%
Adley Rutschman
$67 Vol.
2%
Kristian Campbell
$50 Vol.
2%
Anthony Volpe
$67 Vol.
2%
Zack Gelof
$193 Vol.
2%
Anthony Santander
$198 Vol.
1%
Jonathan India
$289 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Yordan Alvarez commands the AL Comeback Player of the Year market at 79% implied probability after missing most of 2025 with injuries that limited him to 48 games. His 2026 campaign features AL-leading marks in batting average (.320+), home runs (36), and RBIs (90+), alongside elite on-base and slugging figures that have him atop MVP polls and in Triple Crown contention. This offensive dominance from a healthy designated hitter and outfielder has solidified trader consensus. Gerrit Cole sits at 9% on his return from prior arm issues, while Mike Trout (4%) and others like Adley Rutschman trail further behind, as Alvarez’s sustained production and historical performance rebound define the pricing.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 26, 2026, 5:06 PM ET
Volume
$5,043End Date
Dec 19, 2026Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 5:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Yordan Alvarez commands the AL Comeback Player of the Year market at 79% implied probability after missing most of 2025 with injuries that limited him to 48 games. His 2026 campaign features AL-leading marks in batting average (.320+), home runs (36), and RBIs (90+), alongside elite on-base and slugging figures that have him atop MVP polls and in Triple Crown contention. This offensive dominance from a healthy designated hitter and outfielder has solidified trader consensus. Gerrit Cole sits at 9% on his return from prior arm issues, while Mike Trout (4%) and others like Adley Rutschman trail further behind, as Alvarez’s sustained production and historical performance rebound define the pricing.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,043End Date
Dec 19, 2026Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 5:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Yordan Alvarez commands the AL Comeback Player of the Year market at 79% implied probability after missing most of 2025 with injuries that limited him to 48 games. His 2026 campaign features AL-leading marks in batting average (.320+), home runs (36), and RBIs (90+), alongside elite on-base and slugging figures that have him atop MVP polls and in Triple Crown contention. This offensive dominance from a healthy designated hitter and outfielder has solidified trader consensus. Gerrit Cole sits at 9% on his return from prior arm issues, while Mike Trout (4%) and others like Adley Rutschman trail further behind, as Alvarez’s sustained production and historical performance rebound define the pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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