Kyle Schwarber reached 40 home runs first in the 2026 season on August 26, giving the Phillies designated hitter his fourth such campaign and establishing him as the clear leader ahead of Yordan Alvarez, Matt Olson, and Hunter Goodman, who each sit at 36. With roughly a month remaining and several power hitters like Ben Rice (35) and Junior Caminero (35) still in striking distance of the milestone, recent form and favorable matchups in September will determine whether additional players join him. Trader consensus reflects this late-summer surge in long balls across the league, with Schwarber’s pace and health as the dominant factors shaping probabilities for the season-long outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$29,184 Vol.
Yordan Alvarez
89%
Junior Caminero
84%
Matt Olson
81%
Kazuma Okamoto
50%
Munetaka Murakami
26%
Shohei Ohtani
16%
Pete Alonso
9%
Jordan Walker
11%
Dillon Dingler
10%
Byron Buxton
7%
Brandon Lowe
7%
Colson Montgomery
7%
Bryce Harper
7%
CJ Abrams
7%
Miguel Vargas
7%
Wilson Contreras
6%
Manny Machado
5%
James Wood
4%
4%
Mike Trout
4%
4%
Ketel Marte
3%
Christian Walker
2%
Juan Soto
2%
Nick Kurtz
2%
Shea Langeliers
1%
Aaron Judge
1%
Ben Rice
47%
Hunter Goodman
55%
$29,184 Vol.
Yordan Alvarez
89%
Junior Caminero
84%
Matt Olson
81%
Kazuma Okamoto
50%
Munetaka Murakami
26%
Shohei Ohtani
16%
Pete Alonso
9%
Jordan Walker
11%
Dillon Dingler
10%
Byron Buxton
7%
Brandon Lowe
7%
Colson Montgomery
7%
Bryce Harper
7%
CJ Abrams
7%
Miguel Vargas
7%
Wilson Contreras
6%
Manny Machado
5%
James Wood
4%
4%
Mike Trout
4%
4%
Ketel Marte
3%
Christian Walker
2%
Juan Soto
2%
Nick Kurtz
2%
Shea Langeliers
1%
Aaron Judge
1%
Ben Rice
47%
Hunter Goodman
55%
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 40 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 2, 2026, 6:04 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.mlb.comResolver
0x65070BE91...If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 40 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Source
https://www.mlb.comResolver
0x65070BE91...Kyle Schwarber reached 40 home runs first in the 2026 season on August 26, giving the Phillies designated hitter his fourth such campaign and establishing him as the clear leader ahead of Yordan Alvarez, Matt Olson, and Hunter Goodman, who each sit at 36. With roughly a month remaining and several power hitters like Ben Rice (35) and Junior Caminero (35) still in striking distance of the milestone, recent form and favorable matchups in September will determine whether additional players join him. Trader consensus reflects this late-summer surge in long balls across the league, with Schwarber’s pace and health as the dominant factors shaping probabilities for the season-long outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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