With roughly five weeks remaining in the 2026 MLB regular season, wild-card races in both leagues remain tightly contested and continue to shape trader sentiment around postseason qualification. In the American League, the Yankees and Red Sox have established strong leads for the top two wild-card berths, while the Guardians hold the third spot and face pressure from the Rangers, Orioles, Blue Jays, and Mariners, all within five games. The National League features the Cubs and Phillies atop the wild-card standings, with the Padres clinging to the final berth just one game ahead of the Diamondbacks. Recent form, bullpen stability, remaining schedule strength, and head-to-head matchups among contenders are the primary drivers, as late surges or collapses can rapidly shift implied probabilities reflected in current market pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMLB: Team to make postseason
$179,087 Vol.
New York Yankees
99%
Atlanta Braves
99%
Tampa Bay Rays
98%
Boston Red Sox
97%
Milwaukee Brewers
97%
Los Angeles Dodgers
97%
Chicago Cubs
96%
Philadelphia Phillies
91%
Chicago White Sox
78%
San Diego Padres
70%
Cleveland Guardians
64%
Texas Rangers
46%
Houston Astros
45%
Arizona Diamondbacks
39%
Seattle Mariners
39%
Baltimore Orioles
21%
Toronto Blue Jays
15%
Minnesota Twins
11%
Cincinnati Reds
9%
Miami Marlins
7%
St. Louis Cardinals
6%
Detroit Tigers
5%
Athletics
3%
Pittsburgh Pirates
3%
New York Mets
2%
Colorado Rockies
12%
Los Angeles Angels
2%
Washington Nationals
1%
Kansas City Royals
1%
San Francisco Giants
1%
$179,087 Vol.
New York Yankees
99%
Atlanta Braves
99%
Tampa Bay Rays
98%
Boston Red Sox
97%
Milwaukee Brewers
97%
Los Angeles Dodgers
97%
Chicago Cubs
96%
Philadelphia Phillies
91%
Chicago White Sox
78%
San Diego Padres
70%
Cleveland Guardians
64%
Texas Rangers
46%
Houston Astros
45%
Arizona Diamondbacks
39%
Seattle Mariners
39%
Baltimore Orioles
21%
Toronto Blue Jays
15%
Minnesota Twins
11%
Cincinnati Reds
9%
Miami Marlins
7%
St. Louis Cardinals
6%
Detroit Tigers
5%
Athletics
3%
Pittsburgh Pirates
3%
New York Mets
2%
Colorado Rockies
12%
Los Angeles Angels
2%
Washington Nationals
1%
Kansas City Royals
1%
San Francisco Giants
1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 MLB Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". Any tiebreaker or “Game 163” will not be considered part of the MLB Playoffs.
If the 2026 MLB Playoffs are cancelled, postponed to begin after October 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or the full 12-team playoff field has not been officially confirmed by MLB within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB and/or the clinching team; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 3, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 MLB Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". Any tiebreaker or “Game 163” will not be considered part of the MLB Playoffs.
If the 2026 MLB Playoffs are cancelled, postponed to begin after October 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or the full 12-team playoff field has not been officially confirmed by MLB within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB and/or the clinching team; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...With roughly five weeks remaining in the 2026 MLB regular season, wild-card races in both leagues remain tightly contested and continue to shape trader sentiment around postseason qualification. In the American League, the Yankees and Red Sox have established strong leads for the top two wild-card berths, while the Guardians hold the third spot and face pressure from the Rangers, Orioles, Blue Jays, and Mariners, all within five games. The National League features the Cubs and Phillies atop the wild-card standings, with the Padres clinging to the final berth just one game ahead of the Diamondbacks. Recent form, bullpen stability, remaining schedule strength, and head-to-head matchups among contenders are the primary drivers, as late surges or collapses can rapidly shift implied probabilities reflected in current market pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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