Yordan Alvarez holds a commanding lead in 2026 intentional walks with 28, well ahead of Shohei Ohtani at 16 and the rest of the field, driving the market's 98.2% implied probability for the Astros designated hitter. His elite production—leading qualified American League hitters in batting average, home runs, RBIs, OPS, and on-base percentage—prompts opposing managers to issue free passes in high-leverage spots, including a franchise-record three in one recent game that broke Jeff Bagwell's team mark. With roughly a month remaining, other contenders would require substantial late surges or Alvarez absences from the lineup to close the gap, though his consistent plate appearances and power profile make significant shifts unlikely based on current form and roster trends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedYordan Alvarez 98.2%
Ben Rice 1.0%
Nick Kurtz 1.0%
Shohei Ohtani <1%
$15,821 Vol.
$15,821 Vol.
Yordan Alvarez
98%
Ben Rice
1%
Nick Kurtz
1%
Shohei Ohtani
1%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1%
Munetaka Murakami
1%
José Ramírez
1%
Aaron Judge
1%
James Wood
<1%
Iván Herrera
<1%
Jonathan Aranda
<1%
Juan Soto
<1%
Mike Trout
<1%
Yordan Alvarez 98.2%
Ben Rice 1.0%
Nick Kurtz 1.0%
Shohei Ohtani <1%
$15,821 Vol.
$15,821 Vol.
Yordan Alvarez
98%
Ben Rice
1%
Nick Kurtz
1%
Shohei Ohtani
1%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1%
Munetaka Murakami
1%
José Ramírez
1%
Aaron Judge
1%
James Wood
<1%
Iván Herrera
<1%
Jonathan Aranda
<1%
Juan Soto
<1%
Mike Trout
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more walks during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher on base percentage. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the 2026 MLB season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available MLB statistics for completed games.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player had more walks within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: May 26, 2026, 10:59 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more walks during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher on base percentage. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the 2026 MLB season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available MLB statistics for completed games.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player had more walks within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Yordan Alvarez holds a commanding lead in 2026 intentional walks with 28, well ahead of Shohei Ohtani at 16 and the rest of the field, driving the market's 98.2% implied probability for the Astros designated hitter. His elite production—leading qualified American League hitters in batting average, home runs, RBIs, OPS, and on-base percentage—prompts opposing managers to issue free passes in high-leverage spots, including a franchise-record three in one recent game that broke Jeff Bagwell's team mark. With roughly a month remaining, other contenders would require substantial late surges or Alvarez absences from the lineup to close the gap, though his consistent plate appearances and power profile make significant shifts unlikely based on current form and roster trends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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