The Tampa Bay Rays hold a commanding 3.5-game lead in the AL East with a 79-54 record entering the final month, driven by consistent pitching depth and a 43-23 home mark that has kept them atop the division since mid-summer. Traders price the Rays at 61.2% implied probability to win the division, reflecting their ability to maintain separation despite a recent 5-5 stretch and a head-to-head edge over the Yankees. New York sits at 75-57 with the AL’s best run differential but trails after dropping series to contenders and facing a tougher remaining schedule. Boston’s 73-60 surge has narrowed the wild-card gap but leaves them six games back, while Baltimore and Toronto remain double-digit games out with minimal realistic paths. Late-season roster health and the Rays-Yankees season series will determine final positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTampa Bay Rays 61.1%
New York Yankees 24%
Boston Red Sox 6.8%
Toronto Blue Jays <1%
$256,194 Vol.
$256,194 Vol.
Oct 10, 2026
Tampa Bay Rays
61%
New York Yankees
24%
Boston Red Sox
7%
Toronto Blue Jays
1%
Baltimore Orioles
<1%
Tampa Bay Rays 61.1%
New York Yankees 24%
Boston Red Sox 6.8%
Toronto Blue Jays <1%
$256,194 Vol.
$256,194 Vol.
Oct 10, 2026
Tampa Bay Rays
$61,732 Vol.
61%
New York Yankees
$88,074 Vol.
24%
Boston Red Sox
$19,418 Vol.
7%
Toronto Blue Jays
$27,793 Vol.
1%
Baltimore Orioles
$59,177 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB American League East division.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the team whose listed nickname comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named the 2026 American League East division champion per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Tampa Bay Rays hold a commanding 3.5-game lead in the AL East with a 79-54 record entering the final month, driven by consistent pitching depth and a 43-23 home mark that has kept them atop the division since mid-summer. Traders price the Rays at 61.2% implied probability to win the division, reflecting their ability to maintain separation despite a recent 5-5 stretch and a head-to-head edge over the Yankees. New York sits at 75-57 with the AL’s best run differential but trails after dropping series to contenders and facing a tougher remaining schedule. Boston’s 73-60 surge has narrowed the wild-card gap but leaves them six games back, while Baltimore and Toronto remain double-digit games out with minimal realistic paths. Late-season roster health and the Rays-Yankees season series will determine final positioning.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB American League East division.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the team whose listed nickname comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named the 2026 American League East division champion per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the team whose listed nickname comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named the 2026 American League East division champion per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 19, 2026, 12:47 PM ET
Volume
$256,194End Date
Oct 11, 2026Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 12:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB American League East division.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the team whose listed nickname comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named the 2026 American League East division champion per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Tampa Bay Rays hold a commanding 3.5-game lead in the AL East with a 79-54 record entering the final month, driven by consistent pitching depth and a 43-23 home mark that has kept them atop the division since mid-summer. Traders price the Rays at 61.2% implied probability to win the division, reflecting their ability to maintain separation despite a recent 5-5 stretch and a head-to-head edge over the Yankees. New York sits at 75-57 with the AL’s best run differential but trails after dropping series to contenders and facing a tougher remaining schedule. Boston’s 73-60 surge has narrowed the wild-card gap but leaves them six games back, while Baltimore and Toronto remain double-digit games out with minimal realistic paths. Late-season roster health and the Rays-Yankees season series will determine final positioning.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB American League East division.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the team whose listed nickname comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named the 2026 American League East division champion per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the team whose listed nickname comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named the 2026 American League East division champion per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$256,194End Date
Oct 11, 2026Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 12:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Tampa Bay Rays hold a commanding 3.5-game lead in the AL East with a 79-54 record entering the final month, driven by consistent pitching depth and a 43-23 home mark that has kept them atop the division since mid-summer. Traders price the Rays at 61.2% implied probability to win the division, reflecting their ability to maintain separation despite a recent 5-5 stretch and a head-to-head edge over the Yankees. New York sits at 75-57 with the AL’s best run differential but trails after dropping series to contenders and facing a tougher remaining schedule. Boston’s 73-60 surge has narrowed the wild-card gap but leaves them six games back, while Baltimore and Toronto remain double-digit games out with minimal realistic paths. Late-season roster health and the Rays-Yankees season series will determine final positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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