Microsoft shares closed at $513.53 on August 28 after a six-session winning streak and 30% monthly advance fueled by reaccelerating Azure revenue growth of 43% in the July fiscal Q4 report, alongside Microsoft 365 Copilot expansion and $678 billion remaining performance obligations. With the stock trading near its 52-week high amid easing AI monetization concerns and supportive peer results from Google Cloud and AWS, trader consensus clusters probabilities in the $500–530 ranges. Near-term sentiment reflects momentum from recent partnerships, including expanded Anthropic-Salesforce collaboration and a new Saudi Humain AI alliance, tempered by the absence of immediate catalysts before the next earnings cycle and broader market sensitivity to interest-rate expectations. Analyst price targets averaging near $560 provide longer-term context but hold limited weight for the abbreviated weekly horizon.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$510-$520 23%
$500-$510 21%
$520-$530 18%
<$470 11%
<$470
11%
$470-$480
11%
$480-$490
11%
$490-$500
11%
$500-$510
21%
$510-$520
23%
$520-$530
18%
$530-$540
9%
$540-$550
11%
$550-$560
11%
>$560
11%
$510-$520 23%
$500-$510 21%
$520-$530 18%
<$470 11%
<$470
11%
$470-$480
11%
$480-$490
11%
$490-$500
11%
$500-$510
21%
$510-$520
23%
$520-$530
18%
$530-$540
9%
$540-$550
11%
$550-$560
11%
>$560
11%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Microsoft shares closed at $513.53 on August 28 after a six-session winning streak and 30% monthly advance fueled by reaccelerating Azure revenue growth of 43% in the July fiscal Q4 report, alongside Microsoft 365 Copilot expansion and $678 billion remaining performance obligations. With the stock trading near its 52-week high amid easing AI monetization concerns and supportive peer results from Google Cloud and AWS, trader consensus clusters probabilities in the $500–530 ranges. Near-term sentiment reflects momentum from recent partnerships, including expanded Anthropic-Salesforce collaboration and a new Saudi Humain AI alliance, tempered by the absence of immediate catalysts before the next earnings cycle and broader market sensitivity to interest-rate expectations. Analyst price targets averaging near $560 provide longer-term context but hold limited weight for the abbreviated weekly horizon.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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