Microsoft's fiscal 2026 results, with revenue reaching $331.8 billion (+18% YoY) and Azure surpassing $100 billion annually (+41%), have anchored trader sentiment ahead of September 2026 price targets, as the July 29 earnings beat and 43% cloud growth validated AI monetization through Copilot and infrastructure demand. Shares have rallied sharply from sub-$400 levels to around $490–$496, reflecting a re-rating on accelerating intelligent cloud margins and a $678 billion backlog despite elevated capital expenditures near $175 billion for calendar 2026. Key near-term catalysts include the mid-September FOMC decision and associated CPI data, which could influence tech valuations via interest rate expectations, followed by the October earnings release that will reveal early fiscal 2027 Azure trends. Market-implied odds embed this momentum while pricing in risks from macro volatility and sustained capex.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
Sep 30, 2026
↑ $585
47%
↑ $570
41%
↑ $555
53%
↑ $540
50%
↑ $525
47%
↑ $510
50%
↑ $495
49%
↓ $480
50%
↓ $465
51%
↓ $450
50%
↓ $435
50%
↓ $420
50%
↓ $405
48%
↓ $390
50%
$36 Vol.
↑ $585
$0 Vol.
47%
↑ $570
$36 Vol.
41%
↑ $555
$0 Vol.
53%
↑ $540
$0 Vol.
50%
↑ $525
$0 Vol.
47%
↑ $510
$0 Vol.
50%
↑ $495
$0 Vol.
49%
↓ $480
$0 Vol.
50%
↓ $465
$0 Vol.
51%
↓ $450
$0 Vol.
50%
↓ $435
$0 Vol.
50%
↓ $420
$0 Vol.
50%
↓ $405
$0 Vol.
48%
↓ $390
$0 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during September 2026, any 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.Microsoft's fiscal 2026 results, with revenue reaching $331.8 billion (+18% YoY) and Azure surpassing $100 billion annually (+41%), have anchored trader sentiment ahead of September 2026 price targets, as the July 29 earnings beat and 43% cloud growth validated AI monetization through Copilot and infrastructure demand. Shares have rallied sharply from sub-$400 levels to around $490–$496, reflecting a re-rating on accelerating intelligent cloud margins and a $678 billion backlog despite elevated capital expenditures near $175 billion for calendar 2026. Key near-term catalysts include the mid-September FOMC decision and associated CPI data, which could influence tech valuations via interest rate expectations, followed by the October earnings release that will reveal early fiscal 2027 Azure trends. Market-implied odds embed this momentum while pricing in risks from macro volatility and sustained capex.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during September 2026, any 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$36End Date
Oct 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during September 2026, any 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.Microsoft's fiscal 2026 results, with revenue reaching $331.8 billion (+18% YoY) and Azure surpassing $100 billion annually (+41%), have anchored trader sentiment ahead of September 2026 price targets, as the July 29 earnings beat and 43% cloud growth validated AI monetization through Copilot and infrastructure demand. Shares have rallied sharply from sub-$400 levels to around $490–$496, reflecting a re-rating on accelerating intelligent cloud margins and a $678 billion backlog despite elevated capital expenditures near $175 billion for calendar 2026. Key near-term catalysts include the mid-September FOMC decision and associated CPI data, which could influence tech valuations via interest rate expectations, followed by the October earnings release that will reveal early fiscal 2027 Azure trends. Market-implied odds embed this momentum while pricing in risks from macro volatility and sustained capex.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during September 2026, any 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Volume
$36End Date
Oct 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Microsoft's fiscal 2026 results, with revenue reaching $331.8 billion (+18% YoY) and Azure surpassing $100 billion annually (+41%), have anchored trader sentiment ahead of September 2026 price targets, as the July 29 earnings beat and 43% cloud growth validated AI monetization through Copilot and infrastructure demand. Shares have rallied sharply from sub-$400 levels to around $490–$496, reflecting a re-rating on accelerating intelligent cloud margins and a $678 billion backlog despite elevated capital expenditures near $175 billion for calendar 2026. Key near-term catalysts include the mid-September FOMC decision and associated CPI data, which could influence tech valuations via interest rate expectations, followed by the October earnings release that will reveal early fiscal 2027 Azure trends. Market-implied odds embed this momentum while pricing in risks from macro volatility and sustained capex.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions