Microsoft's share price has traded in the mid-$490 range through the first half of the week of August 24, 2026, following a post-earnings rally that lifted the stock from the low $390s in late July. Fiscal 2026 results, reported July 29, showed revenue rising 18% to $331.8 billion and net income up 31% to $133.7 billion, with Azure surpassing $100 billion in annual revenue and commercial remaining performance obligations reaching $678 billion. Heavy capital expenditures of $115.9 billion for the year, focused on AI infrastructure, have tempered free cash flow growth despite robust cloud momentum. With the stock near $494–496 intraday on August 26 and no major catalysts expected before Friday's close, trader positioning in the $490–$500 bucket reflects current levels and limited near-term volatility.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$490-$500 40%
$500-$510 35%
$480-$490 22%
$510-$520 12.5%
<$440
10%
$440-$450
6%
$450-$460
6%
$460-$470
7%
$470-$480
7%
$480-$490
22%
$490-$500
40%
$500-$510
35%
$510-$520
12%
$520-$530
6%
>$530
12%
$490-$500 40%
$500-$510 35%
$480-$490 22%
$510-$520 12.5%
<$440
10%
$440-$450
6%
$450-$460
6%
$460-$470
7%
$470-$480
7%
$480-$490
22%
$490-$500
40%
$500-$510
35%
$510-$520
12%
$520-$530
6%
>$530
12%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Microsoft's share price has traded in the mid-$490 range through the first half of the week of August 24, 2026, following a post-earnings rally that lifted the stock from the low $390s in late July. Fiscal 2026 results, reported July 29, showed revenue rising 18% to $331.8 billion and net income up 31% to $133.7 billion, with Azure surpassing $100 billion in annual revenue and commercial remaining performance obligations reaching $678 billion. Heavy capital expenditures of $115.9 billion for the year, focused on AI infrastructure, have tempered free cash flow growth despite robust cloud momentum. With the stock near $494–496 intraday on August 26 and no major catalysts expected before Friday's close, trader positioning in the $490–$500 bucket reflects current levels and limited near-term volatility.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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