**Anthropic’s rapid revenue scaling underpins the balanced Polymarket odds clustered around $1.75–2.5 trillion.** The company’s annualized run rate reached $65 billion by late July 2026, up from $9 billion at end-2025 and $47 billion in May, with Q2 revenue at $11.5 billion, supporting banker discussions of a $2 trillion IPO valuation and potential $100 billion raise in an October 2026 Nasdaq debut. Secondary markets have marked shares near $1.25 trillion, above the $965 billion Series H post-money valuation from May, while projections of $100–120 billion run-rate revenue by year-end and $190–200 billion by 2028 imply elevated multiples that traders weigh against persistent losses and AI-sector volatility. The tight distribution across leading brackets reflects uncertainty over exact pricing multiples versus peers like SpaceX, with the upcoming public S-1 and roadshow serving as key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$2.0–$2.25T 19.6%
$1.75–$2.0T 19%
$2.25–$2.5T 19%
$2.5–$2.75T 16.6%
$450,397 Vol.
$450,397 Vol.
<$1.25T
2%
$1.25–$1.5T
2%
$1.5–$1.75T
7%
$1.75–$2.0T
19%
$2.0–$2.25T
20%
$2.25–$2.5T
19%
$2.5–$2.75T
17%
$2.75–$3.0T
7%
$3.0T+
9%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
2%
$2.0–$2.25T 19.6%
$1.75–$2.0T 19%
$2.25–$2.5T 19%
$2.5–$2.75T 16.6%
$450,397 Vol.
$450,397 Vol.
<$1.25T
2%
$1.25–$1.5T
2%
$1.5–$1.75T
7%
$1.75–$2.0T
19%
$2.0–$2.25T
20%
$2.25–$2.5T
19%
$2.5–$2.75T
17%
$2.75–$3.0T
7%
$3.0T+
9%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
2%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Market Opened: Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Anthropic’s rapid revenue scaling underpins the balanced Polymarket odds clustered around $1.75–2.5 trillion.** The company’s annualized run rate reached $65 billion by late July 2026, up from $9 billion at end-2025 and $47 billion in May, with Q2 revenue at $11.5 billion, supporting banker discussions of a $2 trillion IPO valuation and potential $100 billion raise in an October 2026 Nasdaq debut. Secondary markets have marked shares near $1.25 trillion, above the $965 billion Series H post-money valuation from May, while projections of $100–120 billion run-rate revenue by year-end and $190–200 billion by 2028 imply elevated multiples that traders weigh against persistent losses and AI-sector volatility. The tight distribution across leading brackets reflects uncertainty over exact pricing multiples versus peers like SpaceX, with the upcoming public S-1 and roadshow serving as key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions