Recent multiple partial outages and elevated error incidents across Claude models like Opus 5, Mythos 5, and Fable 5 have shaped trader views on total downtime days in August 2026. Official status logs show disruptions on at least seven dates through August 24, including a roughly three-hour major event on the 24th that hit the API, claude.ai, Claude Code, and Cowork with 529 overload responses before resolution. Brief login issues followed later that day. With the service now stable and only a few days remaining, these patterns support the market-implied odds favoring 8-10 days overall, as most incidents have been short or component-specific rather than full-day failures. No major catalysts are scheduled before month-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated8-10 86%
5-7 11.1%
11-13 2.3%
14+ <1%
$36,822 Vol.
$36,822 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
5-7
11%
8-10
86%
11-13
2%
14+
<1%
8-10 86%
5-7 11.1%
11-13 2.3%
14+ <1%
$36,822 Vol.
$36,822 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
5-7
$9,252 Vol.
11%
8-10
$8,568 Vol.
86%
11-13
$4,459 Vol.
2%
14+
$5,104 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of days in August 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Recent multiple partial outages and elevated error incidents across Claude models like Opus 5, Mythos 5, and Fable 5 have shaped trader views on total downtime days in August 2026. Official status logs show disruptions on at least seven dates through August 24, including a roughly three-hour major event on the 24th that hit the API, claude.ai, Claude Code, and Cowork with 529 overload responses before resolution. Brief login issues followed later that day. With the service now stable and only a few days remaining, these patterns support the market-implied odds favoring 8-10 days overall, as most incidents have been short or component-specific rather than full-day failures. No major catalysts are scheduled before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in August 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Market Opened: Jul 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Volume
$36,822End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of days in August 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Recent multiple partial outages and elevated error incidents across Claude models like Opus 5, Mythos 5, and Fable 5 have shaped trader views on total downtime days in August 2026. Official status logs show disruptions on at least seven dates through August 24, including a roughly three-hour major event on the 24th that hit the API, claude.ai, Claude Code, and Cowork with 529 overload responses before resolution. Brief login issues followed later that day. With the service now stable and only a few days remaining, these patterns support the market-implied odds favoring 8-10 days overall, as most incidents have been short or component-specific rather than full-day failures. No major catalysts are scheduled before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in August 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Volume
$36,822End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent multiple partial outages and elevated error incidents across Claude models like Opus 5, Mythos 5, and Fable 5 have shaped trader views on total downtime days in August 2026. Official status logs show disruptions on at least seven dates through August 24, including a roughly three-hour major event on the 24th that hit the API, claude.ai, Claude Code, and Cowork with 529 overload responses before resolution. Brief login issues followed later that day. With the service now stable and only a few days remaining, these patterns support the market-implied odds favoring 8-10 days overall, as most incidents have been short or component-specific rather than full-day failures. No major catalysts are scheduled before month-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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