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icon for Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
Tech·AI

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

icon for Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
Tech·AI

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

Sep 1

Oct 1

Sep 1

Oct 1

No release by September 30 69%

September 30 5.1%

September 28 4.3%

On or prior to September 1 3.6%

Polymarket

$28,014 Vol.

No release by September 30 69%

September 30 5.1%

September 28 4.3%

On or prior to September 1 3.6%

Polymarket

$28,014 Vol.

On or prior to September 1

$961 Vol.

4%

September 2

$175 Vol.

2%

September 3

$98 Vol.

2%

September 4

$98 Vol.

2%

September 5

$98 Vol.

2%

September 6

$170 Vol.

3%

September 7

$98 Vol.

2%

September 8

$157 Vol.

1%

September 9

$165 Vol.

1%

September 10

$165 Vol.

1%

September 11

$98 Vol.

1%

September 12

$98 Vol.

2%

September 13

$165 Vol.

1%

September 14

$170 Vol.

3%

September 15

$98 Vol.

2%

September 16

$98 Vol.

2%

September 17

$98 Vol.

2%

September 18

$101 Vol.

1%

September 19

$98 Vol.

1%

September 20

$98 Vol.

2%

September 21

$165 Vol.

1%

September 22

$98 Vol.

2%

September 23

$98 Vol.

2%

September 24

$98 Vol.

2%

September 25

$98 Vol.

2%

September 26

$163 Vol.

1%

September 27

$98 Vol.

1%

September 28

$258 Vol.

4%

September 29

$168 Vol.

2%

September 30

$256 Vol.

5%

No release by September 30

$23,203 Vol.

69%

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.**Ongoing delays in Gemini 3.5 Pro, originally targeted for a June 2026 launch after Google I/O, continue to drive the 68.5% market-implied probability of no Pro release by September 30.** The model has missed multiple internal windows due to shortfalls in coding and agentic performance, with Google confirming partner testing only and no firm availability date as of late August. Recent activity has instead focused on frequent Flash iterations, including Gemini 3.7 Flash in mid-August, alongside confirmation that pre-training for the next-generation Gemini 4 has begun. Traders appear to weigh the pattern of repeated slips and lack of new Pro-specific updates more heavily than any near-term resolution catalyst.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.

Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.

Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$28,014
End Date
Oct 1, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.**Ongoing delays in Gemini 3.5 Pro, originally targeted for a June 2026 launch after Google I/O, continue to drive the 68.5% market-implied probability of no Pro release by September 30.** The model has missed multiple internal windows due to shortfalls in coding and agentic performance, with Google confirming partner testing only and no firm availability date as of late August. Recent activity has instead focused on frequent Flash iterations, including Gemini 3.7 Flash in mid-August, alongside confirmation that pre-training for the next-generation Gemini 4 has begun. Traders appear to weigh the pattern of repeated slips and lack of new Pro-specific updates more heavily than any near-term resolution catalyst.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.

Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.

Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$28,014
End Date
Oct 1, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 31 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "No release by September 30" at 69%, followed by "September 30" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 69¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?" has generated $28K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?," browse the 31 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?" is "No release by September 30" at 69%, meaning the market assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "September 30" at 5%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.