Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026, paired with May’s $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation, has anchored trader expectations for a 2026 debut near or above $2 trillion. Explosive revenue growth—annualized run rate rising from roughly $9 billion at the end of 2025 to more than $65 billion by July—combined with Claude model advancements in coding and agentic tasks has fueled banker discussions of a record $100 billion-plus raise and $190–200 billion revenue projections by 2028. This positions the 1.8T+ bracket as the clear consensus outcome, while the low odds on smaller brackets or a delayed IPO beyond 2027 reflect the company’s lead over OpenAI and sustained investor appetite for frontier AI platforms. Public filing expected by late August and a potential October listing remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated1.8T+ 85%
1.5–1.8T 8.8%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 4.8%
1.2–1.5T 1.6%
$372,523 Vol.
$372,523 Vol.
<0.6T
1%
0.6–0.9T
1%
0.9–1.2T
1%
1.2–1.5T
2%
1.5–1.8T
9%
1.8T+
85%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
5%
1.8T+ 85%
1.5–1.8T 8.8%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 4.8%
1.2–1.5T 1.6%
$372,523 Vol.
$372,523 Vol.
<0.6T
1%
0.6–0.9T
1%
0.9–1.2T
1%
1.2–1.5T
2%
1.5–1.8T
9%
1.8T+
85%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
5%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Market Opened: Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026, paired with May’s $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation, has anchored trader expectations for a 2026 debut near or above $2 trillion. Explosive revenue growth—annualized run rate rising from roughly $9 billion at the end of 2025 to more than $65 billion by July—combined with Claude model advancements in coding and agentic tasks has fueled banker discussions of a record $100 billion-plus raise and $190–200 billion revenue projections by 2028. This positions the 1.8T+ bracket as the clear consensus outcome, while the low odds on smaller brackets or a delayed IPO beyond 2027 reflect the company’s lead over OpenAI and sustained investor appetite for frontier AI platforms. Public filing expected by late August and a potential October listing remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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