Oura’s August 2026 reports of an imminent U.S. IPO targeting more than $16 billion valuation, potentially as early as September, with up to $3 billion in proceeds including a large secondary component, form the primary driver behind current Polymarket odds. Revenue scaling from roughly $500 million in 2024 to an expected near-$2 billion in 2026, supported by a growing subscription layer on top of 5.5 million rings sold and over five million paid members, underpins trader expectations for a closing market cap in the $17.5–20 billion-plus range at combined 55% implied probability. Competitive pressure from Samsung’s Galaxy Ring and expanding Apple wearables, alongside the shift from prior $11 billion private valuation, introduces uncertainty reflected in the spread across lower bins, while a near-term listing window remains the key catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$20B+ 29%
$17.5B–$20B 26%
$15B–$17.5B 14%
$12.5B–$15B 11%
$295,066 Vol.
$295,066 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<$7.5B
7%
$7.5B–$10B
6%
$10B–$12.5B
5%
$12.5B–$15B
11%
$15B–$17.5B
14%
$17.5B–$20B
26%
$20B+
29%
No IPO before January 2027
6%
$20B+ 29%
$17.5B–$20B 26%
$15B–$17.5B 14%
$12.5B–$15B 11%
$295,066 Vol.
$295,066 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<$7.5B
$48,058 Vol.
7%
$7.5B–$10B
$72,488 Vol.
6%
$10B–$12.5B
$37,490 Vol.
5%
$12.5B–$15B
$52,901 Vol.
11%
$15B–$17.5B
$19,844 Vol.
14%
$17.5B–$20B
$25,498 Vol.
26%
$20B+
$31,157 Vol.
29%
No IPO before January 2027
$7,630 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve based on Oura's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Oura’s August 2026 reports of an imminent U.S. IPO targeting more than $16 billion valuation, potentially as early as September, with up to $3 billion in proceeds including a large secondary component, form the primary driver behind current Polymarket odds. Revenue scaling from roughly $500 million in 2024 to an expected near-$2 billion in 2026, supported by a growing subscription layer on top of 5.5 million rings sold and over five million paid members, underpins trader expectations for a closing market cap in the $17.5–20 billion-plus range at combined 55% implied probability. Competitive pressure from Samsung’s Galaxy Ring and expanding Apple wearables, alongside the shift from prior $11 billion private valuation, introduces uncertainty reflected in the spread across lower bins, while a near-term listing window remains the key catalyst.
This market will resolve based on Oura's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Market Opened: May 26, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
Volume
$295,066End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
May 26, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Oura's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Oura’s August 2026 reports of an imminent U.S. IPO targeting more than $16 billion valuation, potentially as early as September, with up to $3 billion in proceeds including a large secondary component, form the primary driver behind current Polymarket odds. Revenue scaling from roughly $500 million in 2024 to an expected near-$2 billion in 2026, supported by a growing subscription layer on top of 5.5 million rings sold and over five million paid members, underpins trader expectations for a closing market cap in the $17.5–20 billion-plus range at combined 55% implied probability. Competitive pressure from Samsung’s Galaxy Ring and expanding Apple wearables, alongside the shift from prior $11 billion private valuation, introduces uncertainty reflected in the spread across lower bins, while a near-term listing window remains the key catalyst.
This market will resolve based on Oura's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$295,066End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
May 26, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Oura’s August 2026 reports of an imminent U.S. IPO targeting more than $16 billion valuation, potentially as early as September, with up to $3 billion in proceeds including a large secondary component, form the primary driver behind current Polymarket odds. Revenue scaling from roughly $500 million in 2024 to an expected near-$2 billion in 2026, supported by a growing subscription layer on top of 5.5 million rings sold and over five million paid members, underpins trader expectations for a closing market cap in the $17.5–20 billion-plus range at combined 55% implied probability. Competitive pressure from Samsung’s Galaxy Ring and expanding Apple wearables, alongside the shift from prior $11 billion private valuation, introduces uncertainty reflected in the spread across lower bins, while a near-term listing window remains the key catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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