Microsoft's shares have advanced steadily through the week of August 24, closing at $496.37 on August 26 after gains of 0.84% on the 24th and 0.90% on the 25th, supported by sustained momentum from fiscal Q4 2026 results released July 29. Revenue rose 18% year-over-year to $90 billion, with Azure growing 43% and full-year cloud revenue exceeding $100 billion for the first time, reflecting strong AI monetization and operating leverage. Traders are pricing in continued cloud demand and disciplined capital expenditure guidance near $50 billion for the coming quarter, tempered by broader sector concerns over AI infrastructure costs. The next earnings release is scheduled for late October, leaving limited near-term catalysts beyond macroeconomic data and equity market flows.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$420
90%
$430
94%
$440
94%
$450
94%
$460
92%
$470
94%
$480
90%
$490
62%
$500
27%
$510
14%
$520
7%
$530
6%
$540
6%
$104 Vol.
$420
90%
$430
94%
$440
94%
$450
94%
$460
92%
$470
94%
$480
90%
$490
62%
$500
27%
$510
14%
$520
7%
$530
6%
$540
6%
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Microsoft's shares have advanced steadily through the week of August 24, closing at $496.37 on August 26 after gains of 0.84% on the 24th and 0.90% on the 25th, supported by sustained momentum from fiscal Q4 2026 results released July 29. Revenue rose 18% year-over-year to $90 billion, with Azure growing 43% and full-year cloud revenue exceeding $100 billion for the first time, reflecting strong AI monetization and operating leverage. Traders are pricing in continued cloud demand and disciplined capital expenditure guidance near $50 billion for the coming quarter, tempered by broader sector concerns over AI infrastructure costs. The next earnings release is scheduled for late October, leaving limited near-term catalysts beyond macroeconomic data and equity market flows.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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