Micron (MU) shares, recently trading near $1,016, reflect trader positioning ahead of the September 25 close amid sustained AI-driven demand for high-bandwidth memory and DRAM. Strong fiscal Q3 results and raised guidance earlier in the year established elevated revenue and margin trajectories, with Q4 consensus estimates centering on roughly $50 billion in revenue and $31 EPS. The evenly distributed probabilities across $960–$1,040 ranges capture near-term volatility and limited directional conviction, as the market digests September price action between $900 and $1,040 while awaiting the September 30 earnings catalyst. Macro factors including memory pricing trends and broader semiconductor sentiment further shape the compressed implied probabilities around current levels.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated<$920 13%
$1,000-$1,020 13%
$980-$1,000 12%
$1,020-$1,040 12%
<$920
13%
$920-$940
7%
$940-$960
8%
$960-$980
11%
$980-$1,000
12%
$1,000-$1,020
13%
$1,020-$1,040
12%
$1,040-$1,060
9%
$1,060-$1,080
7%
$1,080-$1,100
11%
>$1,100
10%
<$920 13%
$1,000-$1,020 13%
$980-$1,000 12%
$1,020-$1,040 12%
<$920
13%
$920-$940
7%
$940-$960
8%
$960-$980
11%
$980-$1,000
12%
$1,000-$1,020
13%
$1,020-$1,040
12%
$1,040-$1,060
9%
$1,060-$1,080
7%
$1,080-$1,100
11%
>$1,100
10%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MU%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Sep 18, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MU%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MU%2FUSD.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MU%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Micron (MU) shares, recently trading near $1,016, reflect trader positioning ahead of the September 25 close amid sustained AI-driven demand for high-bandwidth memory and DRAM. Strong fiscal Q3 results and raised guidance earlier in the year established elevated revenue and margin trajectories, with Q4 consensus estimates centering on roughly $50 billion in revenue and $31 EPS. The evenly distributed probabilities across $960–$1,040 ranges capture near-term volatility and limited directional conviction, as the market digests September price action between $900 and $1,040 while awaiting the September 30 earnings catalyst. Macro factors including memory pricing trends and broader semiconductor sentiment further shape the compressed implied probabilities around current levels.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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