Klay Thompson’s agreement with the Miami Heat on a two-year, $11.5 million contract following a buyout from the Dallas Mavericks has driven the overwhelming market consensus. After two underwhelming seasons in Dallas—marked by limited playing time, a bench role, and the team’s pivot toward a youth movement around Cooper Flagg—Thompson prioritized a contender and forfeited roughly $10 million to join Miami’s revamped roster featuring Giannis Antetokounmpo and Bam Adebayo. The Heat sought perimeter spacing and championship experience to complement their frontcourt, aligning with Thompson’s elite career three-point volume and defensive versatility. While the deal has cleared waivers and appears finalized, any unforeseen contract issues or league interventions could theoretically reopen other options, though such outcomes remain remote given the completed transaction.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMiami Heat 97.5%
Orlando Magic 2.4%
Portland Trail Blazers 2.2%
Los Angeles Lakers 1.8%
Miami Heat
98%
Orlando Magic
2%
Portland Trail Blazers
2%
Los Angeles Lakers
2%
Boston Celtics
1%
Utah Jazz
<1%
Washington Wizards
<1%
Atlanta Hawks
<1%
Cleveland Cavaliers
<1%
Indiana Pacers
<1%
Milwaukee Bucks
<1%
New York Knicks
<1%
Toronto Raptors
<1%
Brooklyn Nets
<1%
Charlotte Hornets
<1%
Chicago Bulls
<1%
Dallas Mavericks
<1%
Denver Nuggets
<1%
Detroit Pistons
<1%
Golden State Warriors
<1%
Houston Rockets
<1%
LA Clippers
<1%
Memphis Grizzlies
<1%
Minnesota Timberwolves
<1%
New Orleans Pelicans
<1%
Oklahoma City Thunder
<1%
Philadelphia 76ers
<1%
Phoenix Suns
<1%
Sacramento Kings
<1%
San Antonio Spurs
<1%
Miami Heat 97.5%
Orlando Magic 2.4%
Portland Trail Blazers 2.2%
Los Angeles Lakers 1.8%
Miami Heat
98%
Orlando Magic
2%
Portland Trail Blazers
2%
Los Angeles Lakers
2%
Boston Celtics
1%
Utah Jazz
<1%
Washington Wizards
<1%
Atlanta Hawks
<1%
Cleveland Cavaliers
<1%
Indiana Pacers
<1%
Milwaukee Bucks
<1%
New York Knicks
<1%
Toronto Raptors
<1%
Brooklyn Nets
<1%
Charlotte Hornets
<1%
Chicago Bulls
<1%
Dallas Mavericks
<1%
Denver Nuggets
<1%
Detroit Pistons
<1%
Golden State Warriors
<1%
Houston Rockets
<1%
LA Clippers
<1%
Memphis Grizzlies
<1%
Minnesota Timberwolves
<1%
New Orleans Pelicans
<1%
Oklahoma City Thunder
<1%
Philadelphia 76ers
<1%
Phoenix Suns
<1%
Sacramento Kings
<1%
San Antonio Spurs
<1%
If Klay Thompson does not officially join a new team by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Dallas Mavericks”.
If Klay Thompson joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If Klay Thompson is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
An official trade announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Dallas Mavericks and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If Klay Thompson does not officially join a new team by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Dallas Mavericks”.
If Klay Thompson joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If Klay Thompson is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
An official trade announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Dallas Mavericks and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Klay Thompson’s agreement with the Miami Heat on a two-year, $11.5 million contract following a buyout from the Dallas Mavericks has driven the overwhelming market consensus. After two underwhelming seasons in Dallas—marked by limited playing time, a bench role, and the team’s pivot toward a youth movement around Cooper Flagg—Thompson prioritized a contender and forfeited roughly $10 million to join Miami’s revamped roster featuring Giannis Antetokounmpo and Bam Adebayo. The Heat sought perimeter spacing and championship experience to complement their frontcourt, aligning with Thompson’s elite career three-point volume and defensive versatility. While the deal has cleared waivers and appears finalized, any unforeseen contract issues or league interventions could theoretically reopen other options, though such outcomes remain remote given the completed transaction.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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