Skip to main content
icon for Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner

Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner

icon for Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner

Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner

Justin Herbert 13%

Josh Allen 12%

Joe Burrow 10.6%

Drake Maye 11%

Polymarket

$562,048 Vol.

Justin Herbert 13%

Josh Allen 12%

Joe Burrow 10.6%

Drake Maye 11%

Polymarket

$562,048 Vol.

Justin Herbert

$49,170 Vol.

13%

Josh Allen

$12,452 Vol.

12%

Joe Burrow

$18,315 Vol.

11%

Drake Maye

$16,671 Vol.

11%

Lamar Jackson

$28,512 Vol.

11%

Caleb Williams

$15,667 Vol.

9%

Dak Prescott

$17,094 Vol.

7%

Patrick Mahomes

$4,882 Vol.

7%

Matthew Stafford

$7,128 Vol.

5%

Brock Purdy

$16,428 Vol.

4%

Jordan Love

$6,561 Vol.

4%

Jalen Hurts

$11,467 Vol.

3%

Trevor Lawrence

$7,873 Vol.

3%

Jahmyr Gibbs

$10,993 Vol.

2%

Bo Nix

$9,165 Vol.

2%

Jaxson Dart

$16,563 Vol.

2%

Sam Darnold

$9,463 Vol.

1%

Jared Goff

$7,169 Vol.

1%

Baker Mayfield

$107,771 Vol.

1%

Saquon Barkley

$128,861 Vol.

1%

Jaxson Smith-Njigba

$9,331 Vol.

1%

Christian McCaffrey

$8,614 Vol.

<1%

Justin Jefferson

$9,374 Vol.

<1%

Bijan Robinson

$4,758 Vol.

<1%

Derrick Henry

$6,437 Vol.

<1%

De'Von Achane

$5,798 Vol.

<1%

Puka Nacua

$3,582 Vol.

<1%

Myles Garrett

$5,395 Vol.

<1%

Player J

$6,555 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 NFL MVP market remains tightly bunched among quarterbacks because no single candidate enters with a clear statistical or situational edge heading into the regular season. Justin Herbert benefits from offensive line reinforcements and scheme familiarity that could boost his efficiency, while Josh Allen’s dual-threat production and Buffalo’s roster additions keep him in the mix despite recent statistical regression. Joe Burrow’s full return from turf toe, Lamar Jackson’s proven mobility, and Drake Maye’s continued development create realistic paths for any of them on playoff-contending teams. Caleb Williams and Patrick Mahomes add further depth, with historical patterns showing MVP voting rewards team success and health over raw talent alone.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$562,048
End Date
Feb 15, 2027
Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 5:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 NFL MVP market remains tightly bunched among quarterbacks because no single candidate enters with a clear statistical or situational edge heading into the regular season. Justin Herbert benefits from offensive line reinforcements and scheme familiarity that could boost his efficiency, while Josh Allen’s dual-threat production and Buffalo’s roster additions keep him in the mix despite recent statistical regression. Joe Burrow’s full return from turf toe, Lamar Jackson’s proven mobility, and Drake Maye’s continued development create realistic paths for any of them on playoff-contending teams. Caleb Williams and Patrick Mahomes add further depth, with historical patterns showing MVP voting rewards team success and health over raw talent alone.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$562,048
End Date
Feb 15, 2027
Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 5:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

NFL 2026
Odds & Predictions

Related

icon for Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?

Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?

60%
icon for Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?

Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?

20%
icon for Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award?

Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award?

92%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 29 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Justin Herbert" at 13%, followed by "Josh Allen" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 13¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner" has generated $562K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner," browse the 29 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner" is "Justin Herbert" at 13%, meaning the market assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Josh Allen" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.