The 2026-27 AP Offensive Player of the Year market remains tightly contested early in preseason, with Josh Allen holding the top implied probability near 47% amid a broad field of running backs and wide receivers clustered below 20%. Traders price in Allen’s proven dual-threat production and Buffalo’s offensive continuity, while elevating Jahmyr Gibbs to 18% on the strength of his expanded bell-cow role and the Lions’ elite line after David Montgomery’s departure. Bijan Robinson, Ja’Marr Chase, Puka Nacua, and others sit in the 9-11% range, reflecting comparable paths via volume increases, scheme fit, or supporting casts. No single candidate has separated decisively because recent form, injury recovery, and training-camp usage reports continue to shift expectations across multiple high-powered offenses, keeping the wisdom-of-crowds consensus evenly distributed.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJahmyr Gibbs 18%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba 11%
Ja'Marr Chase 11%
Bijan Robinson 10%
Jahmyr Gibbs
18%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
11%
Ja'Marr Chase
11%
Bijan Robinson
10%
Puka Nacua
10%
Jonathan Taylor
7%
Josh Allen
19%
Justin Jefferson
6%
Justin Herbert
5%
Saquon Barkley
4%
Christian McCaffrey
4%
CeeDee Lamb
4%
Amon-Ra St. Brown
4%
Derrick Henry
3%
James Cook III
3%
Malik Nabers
3%
Nico Collins
3%
De'Von Achane
3%
Rashee Rice
3%
A.J. Brown
2%
Brock Bowers
2%
Kenneth Walker III
2%
Zay Flowers
2%
Ashton Jeanty
2%
Joe Burrow
2%
Kyren Williams
2%
Tetairoa McMillan
2%
Breece Hall
2%
Lamar Jackson
2%
Bucky Irving
2%
Chase Brown
2%
Jayden Daniels
2%
Patrick Mahomes
2%
Jalen Hurts
2%
Ladd McConkey
2%
TreVeyon Henderson
2%
Javonte Williams
2%
Marvin Harrison Jr.
2%
Caleb Williams
2%
Davante Adams
2%
Drake Maye
2%
Josh Jacobs
2%
Jahmyr Gibbs 18%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba 11%
Ja'Marr Chase 11%
Bijan Robinson 10%
Jahmyr Gibbs
18%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
11%
Ja'Marr Chase
11%
Bijan Robinson
10%
Puka Nacua
10%
Jonathan Taylor
7%
Josh Allen
19%
Justin Jefferson
6%
Justin Herbert
5%
Saquon Barkley
4%
Christian McCaffrey
4%
CeeDee Lamb
4%
Amon-Ra St. Brown
4%
Derrick Henry
3%
James Cook III
3%
Malik Nabers
3%
Nico Collins
3%
De'Von Achane
3%
Rashee Rice
3%
A.J. Brown
2%
Brock Bowers
2%
Kenneth Walker III
2%
Zay Flowers
2%
Ashton Jeanty
2%
Joe Burrow
2%
Kyren Williams
2%
Tetairoa McMillan
2%
Breece Hall
2%
Lamar Jackson
2%
Bucky Irving
2%
Chase Brown
2%
Jayden Daniels
2%
Patrick Mahomes
2%
Jalen Hurts
2%
Ladd McConkey
2%
TreVeyon Henderson
2%
Javonte Williams
2%
Marvin Harrison Jr.
2%
Caleb Williams
2%
Davante Adams
2%
Drake Maye
2%
Josh Jacobs
2%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 23, 2026, 9:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026-27 AP Offensive Player of the Year market remains tightly contested early in preseason, with Josh Allen holding the top implied probability near 47% amid a broad field of running backs and wide receivers clustered below 20%. Traders price in Allen’s proven dual-threat production and Buffalo’s offensive continuity, while elevating Jahmyr Gibbs to 18% on the strength of his expanded bell-cow role and the Lions’ elite line after David Montgomery’s departure. Bijan Robinson, Ja’Marr Chase, Puka Nacua, and others sit in the 9-11% range, reflecting comparable paths via volume increases, scheme fit, or supporting casts. No single candidate has separated decisively because recent form, injury recovery, and training-camp usage reports continue to shift expectations across multiple high-powered offenses, keeping the wisdom-of-crowds consensus evenly distributed.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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