The 50% implied probability reflects a closely balanced market where star wide receivers like Ja'Marr Chase—who publicly targeted the 23-touchdown mark in August 2026 training camp—operate alongside talents such as CeeDee Lamb, Justin Jefferson, and Davante Adams in pass-heavy schemes with proven quarterbacks. A 17-game schedule and red-zone volume provide pathways for 24-plus scores, yet sustained health, consistent target share, defensive adjustments, and efficiency in the end zone have limited recent peaks to 17 or 18. Roster continuity, offensive line protection, and schedule strength could shift odds if one player secures outlier usage while others face injuries or competition.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated50% chance
NEW
NEW
Jan 12, 2027
50% chance
NEW
NEW
Jan 12, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records more than 23 receiving touchdowns during the 2026-27 NFL regular season, thereby breaking the NFL single-season receiving touchdowns record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The NFL single-season receiving touchdowns record is 23, set by Randy Moss in 2007. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 23 receiving touchdowns for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 23 receiving touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 50% implied probability reflects a closely balanced market where star wide receivers like Ja'Marr Chase—who publicly targeted the 23-touchdown mark in August 2026 training camp—operate alongside talents such as CeeDee Lamb, Justin Jefferson, and Davante Adams in pass-heavy schemes with proven quarterbacks. A 17-game schedule and red-zone volume provide pathways for 24-plus scores, yet sustained health, consistent target share, defensive adjustments, and efficiency in the end zone have limited recent peaks to 17 or 18. Roster continuity, offensive line protection, and schedule strength could shift odds if one player secures outlier usage while others face injuries or competition.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records more than 23 receiving touchdowns during the 2026-27 NFL regular season, thereby breaking the NFL single-season receiving touchdowns record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The NFL single-season receiving touchdowns record is 23, set by Randy Moss in 2007. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 23 receiving touchdowns for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 23 receiving touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The NFL single-season receiving touchdowns record is 23, set by Randy Moss in 2007. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 23 receiving touchdowns for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 23 receiving touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 4:23 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Jan 12, 2027Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 4:23 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records more than 23 receiving touchdowns during the 2026-27 NFL regular season, thereby breaking the NFL single-season receiving touchdowns record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The NFL single-season receiving touchdowns record is 23, set by Randy Moss in 2007. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 23 receiving touchdowns for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 23 receiving touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 50% implied probability reflects a closely balanced market where star wide receivers like Ja'Marr Chase—who publicly targeted the 23-touchdown mark in August 2026 training camp—operate alongside talents such as CeeDee Lamb, Justin Jefferson, and Davante Adams in pass-heavy schemes with proven quarterbacks. A 17-game schedule and red-zone volume provide pathways for 24-plus scores, yet sustained health, consistent target share, defensive adjustments, and efficiency in the end zone have limited recent peaks to 17 or 18. Roster continuity, offensive line protection, and schedule strength could shift odds if one player secures outlier usage while others face injuries or competition.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records more than 23 receiving touchdowns during the 2026-27 NFL regular season, thereby breaking the NFL single-season receiving touchdowns record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The NFL single-season receiving touchdowns record is 23, set by Randy Moss in 2007. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 23 receiving touchdowns for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 23 receiving touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The NFL single-season receiving touchdowns record is 23, set by Randy Moss in 2007. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 23 receiving touchdowns for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 23 receiving touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0End Date
Jan 12, 2027Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 4:23 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 50% implied probability reflects a closely balanced market where star wide receivers like Ja'Marr Chase—who publicly targeted the 23-touchdown mark in August 2026 training camp—operate alongside talents such as CeeDee Lamb, Justin Jefferson, and Davante Adams in pass-heavy schemes with proven quarterbacks. A 17-game schedule and red-zone volume provide pathways for 24-plus scores, yet sustained health, consistent target share, defensive adjustments, and efficiency in the end zone have limited recent peaks to 17 or 18. Roster continuity, offensive line protection, and schedule strength could shift odds if one player secures outlier usage while others face injuries or competition.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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