The NFL single-season passing yards record of 5,477, set by Peyton Manning in 2013, sits just above recent peaks from Tom Brady and Patrick Mahomes, creating even odds at 50% for a new mark in 2026-27. Top projected volume leaders including Joe Burrow, Jared Goff, and Dak Prescott operate in pass-heavy offenses with favorable matchups and supporting casts, yet the 17-game schedule, injury risks to quarterbacks or offensive lines, and defensive adjustments that force more conservative scripts balance the probabilities. Recent form from efficient passers and league-wide emphasis on aerial attacks sustain trader consensus around even money, while developments such as offensive line health, schedule difficulty, or shifts toward run-heavy approaches could swing implied probabilities in either direction.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated50% chance
NEW
NEW
Jan 12, 2027
50% chance
NEW
NEW
Jan 12, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records more than 5,477 passing yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season, thereby breaking the NFL single-season passing yards record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The NFL single-season passing yards record is 5,477, set by Peyton Manning in 2013. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 5,477 passing yards for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 5,477 passing yards within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The NFL single-season passing yards record of 5,477, set by Peyton Manning in 2013, sits just above recent peaks from Tom Brady and Patrick Mahomes, creating even odds at 50% for a new mark in 2026-27. Top projected volume leaders including Joe Burrow, Jared Goff, and Dak Prescott operate in pass-heavy offenses with favorable matchups and supporting casts, yet the 17-game schedule, injury risks to quarterbacks or offensive lines, and defensive adjustments that force more conservative scripts balance the probabilities. Recent form from efficient passers and league-wide emphasis on aerial attacks sustain trader consensus around even money, while developments such as offensive line health, schedule difficulty, or shifts toward run-heavy approaches could swing implied probabilities in either direction.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records more than 5,477 passing yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season, thereby breaking the NFL single-season passing yards record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The NFL single-season passing yards record is 5,477, set by Peyton Manning in 2013. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 5,477 passing yards for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 5,477 passing yards within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The NFL single-season passing yards record is 5,477, set by Peyton Manning in 2013. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 5,477 passing yards for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 5,477 passing yards within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 4:22 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Jan 12, 2027Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 4:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records more than 5,477 passing yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season, thereby breaking the NFL single-season passing yards record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The NFL single-season passing yards record is 5,477, set by Peyton Manning in 2013. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 5,477 passing yards for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 5,477 passing yards within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The NFL single-season passing yards record of 5,477, set by Peyton Manning in 2013, sits just above recent peaks from Tom Brady and Patrick Mahomes, creating even odds at 50% for a new mark in 2026-27. Top projected volume leaders including Joe Burrow, Jared Goff, and Dak Prescott operate in pass-heavy offenses with favorable matchups and supporting casts, yet the 17-game schedule, injury risks to quarterbacks or offensive lines, and defensive adjustments that force more conservative scripts balance the probabilities. Recent form from efficient passers and league-wide emphasis on aerial attacks sustain trader consensus around even money, while developments such as offensive line health, schedule difficulty, or shifts toward run-heavy approaches could swing implied probabilities in either direction.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records more than 5,477 passing yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season, thereby breaking the NFL single-season passing yards record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The NFL single-season passing yards record is 5,477, set by Peyton Manning in 2013. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 5,477 passing yards for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 5,477 passing yards within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The NFL single-season passing yards record is 5,477, set by Peyton Manning in 2013. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 5,477 passing yards for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 5,477 passing yards within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0End Date
Jan 12, 2027Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 4:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The NFL single-season passing yards record of 5,477, set by Peyton Manning in 2013, sits just above recent peaks from Tom Brady and Patrick Mahomes, creating even odds at 50% for a new mark in 2026-27. Top projected volume leaders including Joe Burrow, Jared Goff, and Dak Prescott operate in pass-heavy offenses with favorable matchups and supporting casts, yet the 17-game schedule, injury risks to quarterbacks or offensive lines, and defensive adjustments that force more conservative scripts balance the probabilities. Recent form from efficient passers and league-wide emphasis on aerial attacks sustain trader consensus around even money, while developments such as offensive line health, schedule difficulty, or shifts toward run-heavy approaches could swing implied probabilities in either direction.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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