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Sports·WNBA

WNBA: 2026 MVP

icon for WNBA: 2026 MVP
Sports·WNBA

WNBA: 2026 MVP

A'ja Wilson 89%

Olivia Miles 10.0%

Caitlin Clark 1.1%

Alyssa Thomas <1%

Polymarket

$201,427 Vol.

A'ja Wilson 89%

Olivia Miles 10.0%

Caitlin Clark 1.1%

Alyssa Thomas <1%

Polymarket

$201,427 Vol.

A'ja Wilson

$41,788 Vol.

89%

Olivia Miles

$3,722 Vol.

10%

Caitlin Clark

$17,855 Vol.

1%

Alyssa Thomas

$93,973 Vol.

<1%

Paige Bueckers

$4,817 Vol.

<1%

Nneka Ogwumike

$1,657 Vol.

<1%

Jackie Young

$1,677 Vol.

<1%

Breanna Stewart

$1,039 Vol.

<1%

Napheesa Collier

$1,366 Vol.

<1%

Sabrina Ionescu

$1,376 Vol.

<1%

Kelsey Plum

$1,475 Vol.

<1%

Allisha Gray

$1,025 Vol.

<1%

Satou Sabally

$26,729 Vol.

<1%

Rhyne Howard

$1,084 Vol.

<1%

Gabby Williams

$1,844 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 WNBA Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by WNBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 WNBA season is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Women’s National Basketball Association; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A'ja Wilson’s commanding position at 89% implied probability stems from her elite two-way production for the Las Vegas Aces, where she leads the WNBA in scoring, blocks, player efficiency rating, and win shares while posting 26.0 points, 9.5 rebounds, 3.2 assists, and 2.0 blocks per game on 52.1% field-goal shooting. The four-time MVP and reigning back-to-back winner has added another Player of the Week honor in late August, reinforcing her status as the league’s most complete forward amid a playoff push. Olivia Miles has emerged as the clearest alternative at 10% by delivering one of the strongest rookie guard campaigns in years for the top-seeded Minnesota Lynx, but Wilson’s sustained efficiency and defensive impact have kept the race lopsided. A late injury to Wilson or an unprecedented finish from Miles could narrow the gap, though the current form favors the Aces star.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 WNBA Most Valuable Player Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by WNBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 WNBA season is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Women’s National Basketball Association; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$201,427
End Date
Sep 25, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 6:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 WNBA Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by WNBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 WNBA season is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Women’s National Basketball Association; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 WNBA Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by WNBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 WNBA season is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Women’s National Basketball Association; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A'ja Wilson’s commanding position at 89% implied probability stems from her elite two-way production for the Las Vegas Aces, where she leads the WNBA in scoring, blocks, player efficiency rating, and win shares while posting 26.0 points, 9.5 rebounds, 3.2 assists, and 2.0 blocks per game on 52.1% field-goal shooting. The four-time MVP and reigning back-to-back winner has added another Player of the Week honor in late August, reinforcing her status as the league’s most complete forward amid a playoff push. Olivia Miles has emerged as the clearest alternative at 10% by delivering one of the strongest rookie guard campaigns in years for the top-seeded Minnesota Lynx, but Wilson’s sustained efficiency and defensive impact have kept the race lopsided. A late injury to Wilson or an unprecedented finish from Miles could narrow the gap, though the current form favors the Aces star.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 WNBA Most Valuable Player Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by WNBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 WNBA season is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Women’s National Basketball Association; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$201,427
End Date
Sep 25, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 6:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 WNBA Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by WNBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 WNBA season is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Women’s National Basketball Association; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

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Will Gabby Williams win the 2026 WNBA Defensive Player of the Year award?

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Frequently Asked Questions

"WNBA: 2026 MVP" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "A'ja Wilson" at 89%, followed by "Olivia Miles" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 89¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "WNBA: 2026 MVP" has generated $201.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 21, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "WNBA: 2026 MVP," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "WNBA: 2026 MVP" is "A'ja Wilson" at 89%, meaning the market assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Olivia Miles" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "WNBA: 2026 MVP" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.