Recent Léger and other polls show the Parti Québécois leading at around 30 percent, with the Coalition Avenir Québec and Parti libéral du Québec tied near 23 percent and the Parti conservateur du Québec at 16 percent ahead of the October 5 vote. This fragmented support, combined with regional divides between francophone ridings favoring the PQ and CAQ and Montreal-area strength for the PLQ, leaves multiple parties in contention for third place in seats or popular vote. CAQ gains under new leader Christine Fréchette have come partly at Québec solidaire’s expense while PCQ momentum under Éric Duhaime adds further uncertainty, especially outside Greater Montreal. High undecided voter shares and second-choice volatility mean small shifts during the campaign could reorder the middle of the field without altering the PQ’s likely first-place position.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCAQ 43%
PCQ 43%
PQ 28%
PLQ 26%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
CAQ
43%
PCQ
43%
PQ
28%
PLQ
26%
PVQ
26%
QS
25%
CAQ 43%
PCQ 43%
PQ 28%
PLQ 26%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
CAQ
$0 Vol.
43%
PCQ
$0 Vol.
43%
PQ
$0 Vol.
28%
PLQ
$0 Vol.
26%
PVQ
$0 Vol.
26%
QS
$0 Vol.
25%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent Léger and other polls show the Parti Québécois leading at around 30 percent, with the Coalition Avenir Québec and Parti libéral du Québec tied near 23 percent and the Parti conservateur du Québec at 16 percent ahead of the October 5 vote. This fragmented support, combined with regional divides between francophone ridings favoring the PQ and CAQ and Montreal-area strength for the PLQ, leaves multiple parties in contention for third place in seats or popular vote. CAQ gains under new leader Christine Fréchette have come partly at Québec solidaire’s expense while PCQ momentum under Éric Duhaime adds further uncertainty, especially outside Greater Montreal. High undecided voter shares and second-choice volatility mean small shifts during the campaign could reorder the middle of the field without altering the PQ’s likely first-place position.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent Léger and other polls show the Parti Québécois leading at around 30 percent, with the Coalition Avenir Québec and Parti libéral du Québec tied near 23 percent and the Parti conservateur du Québec at 16 percent ahead of the October 5 vote. This fragmented support, combined with regional divides between francophone ridings favoring the PQ and CAQ and Montreal-area strength for the PLQ, leaves multiple parties in contention for third place in seats or popular vote. CAQ gains under new leader Christine Fréchette have come partly at Québec solidaire’s expense while PCQ momentum under Éric Duhaime adds further uncertainty, especially outside Greater Montreal. High undecided voter shares and second-choice volatility mean small shifts during the campaign could reorder the middle of the field without altering the PQ’s likely first-place position.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Léger and other polls show the Parti Québécois leading at around 30 percent, with the Coalition Avenir Québec and Parti libéral du Québec tied near 23 percent and the Parti conservateur du Québec at 16 percent ahead of the October 5 vote. This fragmented support, combined with regional divides between francophone ridings favoring the PQ and CAQ and Montreal-area strength for the PLQ, leaves multiple parties in contention for third place in seats or popular vote. CAQ gains under new leader Christine Fréchette have come partly at Québec solidaire’s expense while PCQ momentum under Éric Duhaime adds further uncertainty, especially outside Greater Montreal. High undecided voter shares and second-choice volatility mean small shifts during the campaign could reorder the middle of the field without altering the PQ’s likely first-place position.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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