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icon for UFC: Who Will Joshua Van Fight Next?
Sports·UFC

UFC: Who Will Joshua Van Fight Next?

icon for UFC: Who Will Joshua Van Fight Next?
Sports·UFC

UFC: Who Will Joshua Van Fight Next?

Manel Kape 70%

Asu Almabayev 14%

Brandon Royval 14%

Polymarket
NEW

Manel Kape 70%

Asu Almabayev 14%

Brandon Royval 14%

Polymarket
NEW

Manel Kape

$180 Vol.

82%

Asu Almabayev

$0 Vol.

14%

Brandon Royval

$0 Vol.

14%

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Joshua Van is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that UFC officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Joshua Van is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by September 20, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Manel Kape leads trader sentiment for Joshua Van’s next flyweight bout at 83% implied probability, driven by his five-fight win streak and four straight knockouts, including a first-round finish of Brandon Royval that prompted an immediate title callout. Van’s unanimous decision victory over Alexandre Pantoja at UFC 331 on September 19 reinforced his championship status after an earlier title defense against Tatsuro Taira, positioning Kape as the stylistic and ranking-based frontrunner for a high-profile matchup. Royval and Asu Almabayev sit lower at 14.5% and 14%, reflecting recent losses and division depth. Van’s pre-fight AC joint injury and post-event comments about recovery timelines add uncertainty around scheduling, while the broader flyweight landscape favors established contenders with momentum and recent activity over unranked or less active options.

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Joshua Van is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.

Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that UFC officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.

Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.

If Joshua Van is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by September 20, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Joshua Van is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that UFC officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Joshua Van is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by September 20, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$180
End Date
Sep 21, 2027
Market Opened
Sep 20, 2026, 9:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Joshua Van is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that UFC officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Joshua Van is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by September 20, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Manel Kape leads trader sentiment for Joshua Van’s next flyweight bout at 83% implied probability, driven by his five-fight win streak and four straight knockouts, including a first-round finish of Brandon Royval that prompted an immediate title callout. Van’s unanimous decision victory over Alexandre Pantoja at UFC 331 on September 19 reinforced his championship status after an earlier title defense against Tatsuro Taira, positioning Kape as the stylistic and ranking-based frontrunner for a high-profile matchup. Royval and Asu Almabayev sit lower at 14.5% and 14%, reflecting recent losses and division depth. Van’s pre-fight AC joint injury and post-event comments about recovery timelines add uncertainty around scheduling, while the broader flyweight landscape favors established contenders with momentum and recent activity over unranked or less active options.

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Joshua Van is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.

Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that UFC officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.

Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.

If Joshua Van is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by September 20, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Joshua Van is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that UFC officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Joshua Van is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by September 20, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$180
End Date
Sep 21, 2027
Market Opened
Sep 20, 2026, 9:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"UFC: Who Will Joshua Van Fight Next?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Manel Kape" at 82%, followed by "Asu Almabayev" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 82¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 82% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"UFC: Who Will Joshua Van Fight Next?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 20, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "UFC: Who Will Joshua Van Fight Next?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "UFC: Who Will Joshua Van Fight Next?" is "Manel Kape" at 82%, meaning the market assigns a 82% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Asu Almabayev" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "UFC: Who Will Joshua Van Fight Next?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.