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Sports·Tennis

US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Men's Singles)

icon for US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Men's Singles)
Sports·Tennis

US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Men's Singles)

$20,497 Vol.

Sep 12, 2026
Polymarket

$20,497 Vol.

Polymarket

Alexander Zverev

$371 Vol.

37%

Carlos Alcaraz

$1,593 Vol.

29%

Novak Djokovic

$224 Vol.

20%

Rafael Jodar

$2,069 Vol.

14%

Taylor Fritz

$22 Vol.

13%

Ben Shelton

$30 Vol.

12%

Arthur Fils

$145 Vol.

12%

Felix Auger-Aliassime

$0 Vol.

9%

Jakub Mensik

$708 Vol.

8%

Daniil Medvedev

$5 Vol.

7%

Alex de Minaur

$543 Vol.

6%

Brandon Nakashima

$671 Vol.

6%

Casper Ruud

$936 Vol.

5%

Flavio Cobolli

$21 Vol.

5%

Frances Tiafoe

$0 Vol.

5%

Learner Tien

$1 Vol.

5%

Tommy Paul

$30 Vol.

5%

Alexander Bublik

$142 Vol.

4%

Lorenzo Musetti

$1 Vol.

4%

Alejandro Tabilo

$1 Vol.

4%

Jiri Lehecka

$101 Vol.

3%

Juncheng Shang

$183 Vol.

3%

Darwin Blanch

$268 Vol.

3%

Sebastian Gorzny

$268 Vol.

3%

Andrey Rublev

$236 Vol.

3%

Cameron Norrie

$313 Vol.

2%

Francisco Cerundolo

$335 Vol.

2%

Alexander Blockx

$195 Vol.

2%

Zizou Bergs

$189 Vol.

2%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

$141 Vol.

2%

Jack Kennedy

$1,287 Vol.

2%

Luciano Darderi

$1 Vol.

2%

Valentin Vacherot

$103 Vol.

2%

Michael Zheng

$205 Vol.

2%

Gael Monfils

$263 Vol.

1%

J.J. Wolf

$143 Vol.

1%

Carlos Taberner

$108 Vol.

1%

Dane Sweeny

$345 Vol.

1%

Thanasi Kokkinakis

$228 Vol.

1%

Filip Misolic

$128 Vol.

1%

Arthur Rinderknech

$200 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Carlos Alcaraz and Alexander Zverev stand out as the leading candidates to reach the men's singles final at the 2026 US Open, with the draw placing them in opposite halves following Jannik Sinner's withdrawal due to a right knee injury. Alcaraz, the defending champion returning from a four-month wrist layoff with no matches since April, enters as the betting favorite despite rust concerns, while top-seeded Zverev carries momentum from his French Open title. Novak Djokovic, at 39 and seeking a record 25th major, benefits from an early draw but faces questions about sustained form. Recent results from players like Arthur Fils, fresh off a Cincinnati Masters 1000 win, and Americans Ben Shelton and Taylor Fritz add depth to potential semifinal paths, though Alcaraz's and Zverev's experience and recent Slam pedigree shape the strongest implied probabilities among traders.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$20,497
End Date
Sep 12, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 11:22 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Carlos Alcaraz and Alexander Zverev stand out as the leading candidates to reach the men's singles final at the 2026 US Open, with the draw placing them in opposite halves following Jannik Sinner's withdrawal due to a right knee injury. Alcaraz, the defending champion returning from a four-month wrist layoff with no matches since April, enters as the betting favorite despite rust concerns, while top-seeded Zverev carries momentum from his French Open title. Novak Djokovic, at 39 and seeking a record 25th major, benefits from an early draw but faces questions about sustained form. Recent results from players like Arthur Fils, fresh off a Cincinnati Masters 1000 win, and Americans Ben Shelton and Taylor Fritz add depth to potential semifinal paths, though Alcaraz's and Zverev's experience and recent Slam pedigree shape the strongest implied probabilities among traders.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$20,497
End Date
Sep 12, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 11:22 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Men's Singles)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alexander Zverev" at 37%, followed by "Carlos Alcaraz" at 29%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Men's Singles)" has generated $20.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Men's Singles)," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Men's Singles)" is "Alexander Zverev" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Carlos Alcaraz" at 29%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Men's Singles)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.