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icon for US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Women's Singles)
Sports·WTA

US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Women's Singles)

icon for US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Women's Singles)
Sports·WTA

US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Women's Singles)

NEW
Sep 11, 2026
Polymarket

$7,949 Vol.

Polymarket

Karolina Muchova

$0 Vol.

51%

Belinda Bencic

$0 Vol.

27%

Emma Navarro

$0 Vol.

25%

Alexandra Eala

$22 Vol.

24%

Iga Swiatek

$208 Vol.

23%

Coco Gauff

$330 Vol.

20%

Mirra Andreeva

$356 Vol.

14%

Naomi Osaka

$83 Vol.

12%

Jessica Pegula

$45 Vol.

11%

Elena Rybakina

$155 Vol.

10%

Amanda Anisimova

$21 Vol.

9%

Linda Noskova

$44 Vol.

7%

Marta Kostyuk

$85 Vol.

6%

Elina Svitolina

$105 Vol.

5%

Madison Keys

$0 Vol.

5%

Iva Jovic

$0 Vol.

3%

Marie Bouzkova

$0 Vol.

3%

Sara Bejlek

$0 Vol.

3%

Leylah Fernandez

$0 Vol.

3%

Jasmine Paolini

$150 Vol.

3%

Anna Kalinskaya

$0 Vol.

3%

Diana Shnaider

$111 Vol.

3%

Sorana Cirstea

$0 Vol.

3%

Ekaterina Alexandrova

$1 Vol.

3%

Anastasia Potapova

$1 Vol.

3%

Maria Sakkari

$1 Vol.

3%

Elise Mertens

$1 Vol.

3%

Barbora Krejcikova

$320 Vol.

2%

Reese Brantmeier

$579 Vol.

2%

Carol Young Suh Lee

$446 Vol.

2%

Taylah Preston

$479 Vol.

2%

Maja Chwalinska

$242 Vol.

2%

Thea Frodin

$250 Vol.

2%

Sloane Stephens

$288 Vol.

2%

Jelena Ostapenko

$448 Vol.

2%

Leolia Jeanjean

$711 Vol.

1%

Ann Li

$1,019 Vol.

1%

Sofia Kenin

$541 Vol.

1%

Venus Williams

$885 Vol.

1%

Aryna Sabalenka

$21 Vol.

37%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aryna Sabalenka enters the 2026 US Open as the top seed and two-time defending champion, favored to reach the women's singles final on the strength of her hard-court dominance, powerful serve, and prior success at Flushing Meadows. Recent form adds complexity, with Coco Gauff carrying momentum from her Cincinnati title and Iga Swiatek fresh off a Toronto crown plus a strong semifinal run in Ohio. Elena Rybakina's fitness remains a watch point after injury concerns, while the draw ceremony on August 27 will clarify bracket positioning for these contenders and emerging threats like Mirra Andreeva or Naomi Osaka. The main draw begins August 30 on the fast hard courts, where experience and current form on the surface shape expectations for final appearances.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,949
End Date
Sep 11, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 11:44 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aryna Sabalenka enters the 2026 US Open as the top seed and two-time defending champion, favored to reach the women's singles final on the strength of her hard-court dominance, powerful serve, and prior success at Flushing Meadows. Recent form adds complexity, with Coco Gauff carrying momentum from her Cincinnati title and Iga Swiatek fresh off a Toronto crown plus a strong semifinal run in Ohio. Elena Rybakina's fitness remains a watch point after injury concerns, while the draw ceremony on August 27 will clarify bracket positioning for these contenders and emerging threats like Mirra Andreeva or Naomi Osaka. The main draw begins August 30 on the fast hard courts, where experience and current form on the surface shape expectations for final appearances.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,949
End Date
Sep 11, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 11:44 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Women's Singles)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 40+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Karolina Muchova" at 51%, followed by "Aryna Sabalenka" at 38%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 51¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Women's Singles)" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 25, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Women's Singles)," browse the 40+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Women's Singles)" is "Karolina Muchova" at 51%, meaning the market assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Aryna Sabalenka" at 38%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Women's Singles)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.