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Sports·WTA

2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

icon for 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
Sports·WTA

2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Aryna Sabalenka 22%

Coco Gauff 15.8%

Iga Swiatek 15%

Naomi Osaka 7.3%

Polymarket

$7,127,205 Vol.

Aryna Sabalenka 22%

Coco Gauff 15.8%

Iga Swiatek 15%

Naomi Osaka 7.3%

Polymarket

$7,127,205 Vol.

Aryna Sabalenka

$73,475 Vol.

22%

Coco Gauff

$91,628 Vol.

16%

Iga Swiatek

$55,947 Vol.

15%

Naomi Osaka

$62,366 Vol.

7%

Mirra Andreeva

$68,072 Vol.

7%

Elena Rybakina

$141,002 Vol.

6%

Jessica Pegula

$126,180 Vol.

5%

Amanda Anisimova

$117,614 Vol.

4%

Alexandra Eala

$311,391 Vol.

4%

Linda Noskova

$37,347 Vol.

3%

Karolina Muchova

$54,072 Vol.

2%

Elina Svitolina

$45,390 Vol.

2%

Madison Keys

$44,064 Vol.

1%

Barbora Krejcikova

$557,689 Vol.

1%

Diana Shnaider

$64,793 Vol.

1%

Belinda Bencic

$82,726 Vol.

1%

Elise Mertens

$60,423 Vol.

1%

Emma Navarro

$58,690 Vol.

<1%

Qinwen Zheng

$283,462 Vol.

<1%

Jasmine Paolini

$40,143 Vol.

<1%

Ekaterina Alexandrova

$60,671 Vol.

<1%

Tereza Valentova

$567,883 Vol.

<1%

Anastasia Potapova

$452,302 Vol.

<1%

Marie Bouzkova

$55,748 Vol.

<1%

Liudmila Samsonova

$46,948 Vol.

<1%

Paula Badosa

$39,368 Vol.

<1%

Jelena Ostapenko

$39,981 Vol.

<1%

Clara Tauson

$30,451 Vol.

<1%

Donna Vekic

$148,959 Vol.

<1%

Dayana Yastremska

$35,300 Vol.

<1%

Xiyu Wang

$1,052,973 Vol.

<1%

Sofia Kenin

$199,217 Vol.

<1%

Maya Joint

$47,771 Vol.

<1%

Daria Kasatkina

$19,696 Vol.

<1%

Ashlyn Krueger

$49,271 Vol.

<1%

Marketa Vondrousova

$59,495 Vol.

<1%

Beatriz Haddad Maia

$40,239 Vol.

<1%

Victoria Mboko

$54,940 Vol.

<1%

Emma Raducanu

$78,997 Vol.

<1%

Katie Boulter

$1,670,517 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aryna Sabalenka enters as the two-time defending champion and top seed but arrives with uneven hard-court form after round-of-16 exits at Wimbledon, Toronto, and Cincinnati. Coco Gauff carries strong momentum from her Cincinnati title and Wimbledon semifinal, while Iga Swiatek has rebounded with a Toronto crown and Cincinnati semifinal. These results, combined with the trio’s prior US Open titles and consistent hard-court records, keep their implied probabilities tightly clustered. Additional factors include Elena Rybakina’s heel injury uncertainty, Naomi Osaka’s resurgence, and Mirra Andreeva’s rising consistency, all of which sustain a crowded field where recent North American swing performances and historical venue success shape trader consensus more than any single standout.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,127,205
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aryna Sabalenka enters as the two-time defending champion and top seed but arrives with uneven hard-court form after round-of-16 exits at Wimbledon, Toronto, and Cincinnati. Coco Gauff carries strong momentum from her Cincinnati title and Wimbledon semifinal, while Iga Swiatek has rebounded with a Toronto crown and Cincinnati semifinal. These results, combined with the trio’s prior US Open titles and consistent hard-court records, keep their implied probabilities tightly clustered. Additional factors include Elena Rybakina’s heel injury uncertainty, Naomi Osaka’s resurgence, and Mirra Andreeva’s rising consistency, all of which sustain a crowded field where recent North American swing performances and historical venue success shape trader consensus more than any single standout.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,127,205
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 40+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aryna Sabalenka" at 22%, followed by "Coco Gauff" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 22¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 22% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" has generated $7.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)," browse the 40+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is "Aryna Sabalenka" at 22%, meaning the market assigns a 22% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Coco Gauff" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.