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icon for US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Women's Singles)
Sports·WTA

US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Women's Singles)

icon for US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Women's Singles)
Sports·WTA

US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Women's Singles)

NEW
Sep 10, 2026
Polymarket

$8,036 Vol.

Polymarket

Elina Svitolina

$0 Vol.

51%

Amanda Anisimova

$0 Vol.

51%

Mirra Andreeva

$0 Vol.

51%

Marta Kostyuk

$0 Vol.

51%

Belinda Bencic

$0 Vol.

51%

Naomi Osaka

$0 Vol.

51%

Alexandra Eala

$0 Vol.

51%

Ekaterina Alexandrova

$0 Vol.

51%

Linda Noskova

$0 Vol.

50%

Karolina Muchova

$0 Vol.

50%

Coco Gauff

$286 Vol.

32%

Leylah Fernandez

$0 Vol.

28%

Sorana Cirstea

$0 Vol.

27%

Marie Bouzkova

$0 Vol.

27%

Reese Brantmeier

$0 Vol.

27%

Sofia Kenin

$0 Vol.

26%

Diana Shnaider

$0 Vol.

25%

Barbora Krejcikova

$0 Vol.

25%

Maria Sakkari

$0 Vol.

25%

Iva Jovic

$0 Vol.

24%

Anna Kalinskaya

$0 Vol.

24%

Jessica Pegula

$0 Vol.

19%

Thea Frodin

$20 Vol.

16%

Leolia Jeanjean

$264 Vol.

10%

Venus Williams

$108 Vol.

9%

Madison Keys

$21 Vol.

25%

Ann Li

$349 Vol.

8%

Jelena Ostapenko

$0 Vol.

4%

Sloane Stephens

$0 Vol.

4%

Anastasia Potapova

$366 Vol.

3%

Carol Young Suh Lee

$701 Vol.

3%

Taylah Preston

$0 Vol.

3%

Jasmine Paolini

$2,208 Vol.

2%

Emma Navarro

$1,909 Vol.

2%

Elise Mertens

$681 Vol.

2%

Maja Chwalinska

$591 Vol.

2%

Iga Swiatek

$21 Vol.

57%

Sara Bejlek

$2 Vol.

50%

Aryna Sabalenka

$21 Vol.

55%

Elena Rybakina

$488 Vol.

51%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aryna Sabalenka enters the 2026 US Open as the two-time defending champion and WTA No. 1 but with questions around recent hard-court form after uneven results in Toronto and Cincinnati. Coco Gauff carries strong momentum from her Cincinnati title, where she defeated Jessica Pegula in the final, while Iga Swiatek arrives off a Toronto crown and deep Cincinnati run that bolstered her hard-court credentials. Elena Rybakina, ranked No. 2 and fresh off an Australian Open win, faces injury concerns after retiring in Cincinnati and a limited US Open history. Emerging threats like Alexandra Eala, who has posted notable wins over top players this summer, add volatility to semifinal paths in a draw where recent North American swing results and physical readiness heavily shape trader consensus on advancement probabilities.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$8,036
End Date
Sep 10, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 11:44 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aryna Sabalenka enters the 2026 US Open as the two-time defending champion and WTA No. 1 but with questions around recent hard-court form after uneven results in Toronto and Cincinnati. Coco Gauff carries strong momentum from her Cincinnati title, where she defeated Jessica Pegula in the final, while Iga Swiatek arrives off a Toronto crown and deep Cincinnati run that bolstered her hard-court credentials. Elena Rybakina, ranked No. 2 and fresh off an Australian Open win, faces injury concerns after retiring in Cincinnati and a limited US Open history. Emerging threats like Alexandra Eala, who has posted notable wins over top players this summer, add volatility to semifinal paths in a draw where recent North American swing results and physical readiness heavily shape trader consensus on advancement probabilities.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$8,036
End Date
Sep 10, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 11:44 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Women's Singles)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 40+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Iga Swiatek" at 57%, followed by "Aryna Sabalenka" at 55%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 57¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Women's Singles)" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 25, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Women's Singles)," browse the 40+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Women's Singles)" is "Iga Swiatek" at 57%, meaning the market assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Aryna Sabalenka" at 55%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Women's Singles)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.