Aryna Sabalenka enters as the two-time defending champion and top seed with the strongest recent hard-court pedigree, while Coco Gauff’s strong Cincinnati final run, Iga Swiatek’s Toronto title, and Elena Rybakina’s fitness after her Cincinnati retirement shape trader views on early-round survival. The main draw begins August 30 at Flushing Meadows, with the round-of-16 stage scheduled for September 6-7; top seeds typically clear their opening sections at high rates absent injury or tough early draws, whereas mid-tier players face greater variance from matchups and form. Qualifying wraps this week, finalizing the 128-player field and any late withdrawals that could alter paths.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
Sep 6, 2026
Aryna Sabalenka
63%
Jessica Pegula
62%
Elina Svitolina
60%
Marta Kostyuk
59%
Coco Gauff
57%
Amanda Anisimova
55%
Ann Li
50%
Leolia Jeanjean
50%
Taylah Preston
50%
Sloane Stephens
50%
Karolina Muchova
49%
Belinda Bencic
48%
Iva Jovic
48%
Linda Noskova
48%
Elise Mertens
47%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
47%
Naomi Osaka
46%
Emma Navarro
46%
Marie Bouzkova
46%
Barbora Krejcikova
46%
Maria Sakkari
46%
Mirra Andreeva
44%
Leylah Fernandez
44%
Anna Kalinskaya
43%
Sorana Cirstea
41%
Alexandra Eala
37%
Madison Keys
28%
Thea Frodin
26%
Jasmine Paolini
24%
Anastasia Potapova
21%
Sara Bejlek
36%
Reese Brantmeier
6%
Carol Young Suh Lee
6%
Venus Williams
2%
Diana Shnaider
59%
Maja Chwalinska
50%
Jelena Ostapenko
55%
Sofia Kenin
50%
Elena Rybakina
32%
Iga Swiatek
53%
$6,912 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
$0 Vol.
63%
Jessica Pegula
$0 Vol.
62%
Elina Svitolina
$0 Vol.
60%
Marta Kostyuk
$0 Vol.
59%
Coco Gauff
$0 Vol.
57%
Amanda Anisimova
$0 Vol.
55%
Ann Li
$0 Vol.
50%
Leolia Jeanjean
$0 Vol.
50%
Taylah Preston
$0 Vol.
50%
Sloane Stephens
$0 Vol.
50%
Karolina Muchova
$0 Vol.
49%
Belinda Bencic
$0 Vol.
48%
Iva Jovic
$0 Vol.
48%
Linda Noskova
$0 Vol.
48%
Elise Mertens
$0 Vol.
47%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
$0 Vol.
47%
Naomi Osaka
$0 Vol.
46%
Emma Navarro
$0 Vol.
46%
Marie Bouzkova
$0 Vol.
46%
Barbora Krejcikova
$0 Vol.
46%
Maria Sakkari
$0 Vol.
46%
Mirra Andreeva
$104 Vol.
44%
Leylah Fernandez
$0 Vol.
44%
Anna Kalinskaya
$0 Vol.
43%
Sorana Cirstea
$0 Vol.
41%
Alexandra Eala
$844 Vol.
37%
Madison Keys
$190 Vol.
28%
Thea Frodin
$0 Vol.
26%
Jasmine Paolini
$161 Vol.
24%
Anastasia Potapova
$300 Vol.
21%
Sara Bejlek
$220 Vol.
36%
Reese Brantmeier
$0 Vol.
6%
Carol Young Suh Lee
$0 Vol.
6%
Venus Williams
$2,649 Vol.
2%
Diana Shnaider
$555 Vol.
59%
Maja Chwalinska
$20 Vol.
50%
Jelena Ostapenko
$738 Vol.
55%
Sofia Kenin
$236 Vol.
50%
Elena Rybakina
$437 Vol.
32%
Iga Swiatek
$459 Vol.
53%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Round of 16 have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aryna Sabalenka enters as the two-time defending champion and top seed with the strongest recent hard-court pedigree, while Coco Gauff’s strong Cincinnati final run, Iga Swiatek’s Toronto title, and Elena Rybakina’s fitness after her Cincinnati retirement shape trader views on early-round survival. The main draw begins August 30 at Flushing Meadows, with the round-of-16 stage scheduled for September 6-7; top seeds typically clear their opening sections at high rates absent injury or tough early draws, whereas mid-tier players face greater variance from matchups and form. Qualifying wraps this week, finalizing the 128-player field and any late withdrawals that could alter paths.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Round of 16 have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Round of 16 have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$6,912End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Round of 16 have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aryna Sabalenka enters as the two-time defending champion and top seed with the strongest recent hard-court pedigree, while Coco Gauff’s strong Cincinnati final run, Iga Swiatek’s Toronto title, and Elena Rybakina’s fitness after her Cincinnati retirement shape trader views on early-round survival. The main draw begins August 30 at Flushing Meadows, with the round-of-16 stage scheduled for September 6-7; top seeds typically clear their opening sections at high rates absent injury or tough early draws, whereas mid-tier players face greater variance from matchups and form. Qualifying wraps this week, finalizing the 128-player field and any late withdrawals that could alter paths.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Round of 16 have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Round of 16 have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,912End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Aryna Sabalenka enters as the two-time defending champion and top seed with the strongest recent hard-court pedigree, while Coco Gauff’s strong Cincinnati final run, Iga Swiatek’s Toronto title, and Elena Rybakina’s fitness after her Cincinnati retirement shape trader views on early-round survival. The main draw begins August 30 at Flushing Meadows, with the round-of-16 stage scheduled for September 6-7; top seeds typically clear their opening sections at high rates absent injury or tough early draws, whereas mid-tier players face greater variance from matchups and form. Qualifying wraps this week, finalizing the 128-player field and any late withdrawals that could alter paths.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions