Skip to main content
icon for US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Men's Singles)

US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Men's Singles)

icon for US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Men's Singles)

US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Men's Singles)

NEW

$17,532 Vol.

Sep 12, 2026
Polymarket

$17,532 Vol.

Polymarket

Carlos Alcaraz

$1,232 Vol.

25%

Alexander Zverev

$104 Vol.

31%

Novak Djokovic

$150 Vol.

19%

Ben Shelton

$23 Vol.

17%

Rafael Jodar

$1,783 Vol.

15%

Arthur Fils

$143 Vol.

12%

Taylor Fritz

$22 Vol.

11%

Daniil Medvedev

$0 Vol.

7%

Jakub Mensik

$636 Vol.

6%

Alexander Bublik

$42 Vol.

24%

Felix Auger-Aliassime

$0 Vol.

5%

Alex de Minaur

$397 Vol.

5%

Brandon Nakashima

$671 Vol.

5%

Jiri Lehecka

$21 Vol.

5%

Thanasi Kokkinakis

$228 Vol.

4%

Michael Zheng

$205 Vol.

4%

Filip Misolic

$123 Vol.

4%

J.J. Wolf

$143 Vol.

4%

Carlos Taberner

$103 Vol.

4%

Flavio Cobolli

$21 Vol.

4%

Frances Tiafoe

$0 Vol.

4%

Casper Ruud

$936 Vol.

3%

Lorenzo Musetti

$1 Vol.

3%

Andrey Rublev

$236 Vol.

3%

Juncheng Shang

$183 Vol.

3%

Learner Tien

$1 Vol.

3%

Darwin Blanch

$268 Vol.

3%

Sebastian Gorzny

$268 Vol.

3%

Jack Kennedy

$268 Vol.

3%

Tommy Paul

$30 Vol.

3%

Luciano Darderi

$1 Vol.

3%

Valentin Vacherot

$103 Vol.

3%

Alejandro Tabilo

$1 Vol.

3%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

$101 Vol.

3%

Cameron Norrie

$313 Vol.

2%

Gael Monfils

$168 Vol.

2%

Dane Sweeny

$345 Vol.

2%

Francisco Cerundolo

$335 Vol.

2%

Alexander Blockx

$195 Vol.

2%

Zizou Bergs

$189 Vol.

2%

Ugo Humbert

$243 Vol.

1%

Arthur Rinderknech

$200 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Alexander Zverev enters the 2026 US Open as top seed with strong momentum from his French Open title and Wimbledon final, while defending champion Carlos Alcaraz returns from a four-month wrist layoff with minimal competitive match play. Jannik Sinner's withdrawal due to a right knee injury has opened the draw significantly on the hard courts at Flushing Meadows. Recent form favors players like Arthur Fils after his Cincinnati Masters 1000 victory and consistent performers such as Novak Djokovic and Ben Shelton, who bring experience and recent deep runs in majors or Masters events. The best-of-five format and New York conditions will test recovery and depth, shaping paths to the final amid a competitive field.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$17,532
End Date
Sep 12, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Alexander Zverev enters the 2026 US Open as top seed with strong momentum from his French Open title and Wimbledon final, while defending champion Carlos Alcaraz returns from a four-month wrist layoff with minimal competitive match play. Jannik Sinner's withdrawal due to a right knee injury has opened the draw significantly on the hard courts at Flushing Meadows. Recent form favors players like Arthur Fils after his Cincinnati Masters 1000 victory and consistent performers such as Novak Djokovic and Ben Shelton, who bring experience and recent deep runs in majors or Masters events. The best-of-five format and New York conditions will test recovery and depth, shaping paths to the final amid a competitive field.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$17,532
End Date
Sep 12, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Men's Singles)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alexander Zverev" at 31%, followed by "Carlos Alcaraz" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 31¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Men's Singles)" has generated $17.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Men's Singles)," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Men's Singles)" is "Alexander Zverev" at 31%, meaning the market assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Carlos Alcaraz" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Men's Singles)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.