Alexander Zverev enters the 2026 US Open as top seed with strong momentum from his French Open title and Wimbledon final, while defending champion Carlos Alcaraz returns from a four-month wrist layoff with minimal competitive match play. Jannik Sinner's withdrawal due to a right knee injury has opened the draw significantly on the hard courts at Flushing Meadows. Recent form favors players like Arthur Fils after his Cincinnati Masters 1000 victory and consistent performers such as Novak Djokovic and Ben Shelton, who bring experience and recent deep runs in majors or Masters events. The best-of-five format and New York conditions will test recovery and depth, shaping paths to the final amid a competitive field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$17,532 Vol.
Carlos Alcaraz
25%
Alexander Zverev
31%
Novak Djokovic
19%
Ben Shelton
17%
Rafael Jodar
15%
Arthur Fils
12%
Taylor Fritz
11%
Daniil Medvedev
7%
Jakub Mensik
6%
Alexander Bublik
24%
Felix Auger-Aliassime
5%
Alex de Minaur
5%
Brandon Nakashima
5%
Jiri Lehecka
5%
Thanasi Kokkinakis
4%
Michael Zheng
4%
Filip Misolic
4%
J.J. Wolf
4%
Carlos Taberner
4%
Flavio Cobolli
4%
Frances Tiafoe
4%
Casper Ruud
3%
Lorenzo Musetti
3%
Andrey Rublev
3%
Juncheng Shang
3%
Learner Tien
3%
Darwin Blanch
3%
Sebastian Gorzny
3%
Jack Kennedy
3%
Tommy Paul
3%
Luciano Darderi
3%
Valentin Vacherot
3%
Alejandro Tabilo
3%
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
3%
Cameron Norrie
2%
Gael Monfils
2%
Dane Sweeny
2%
Francisco Cerundolo
2%
Alexander Blockx
2%
Zizou Bergs
2%
Ugo Humbert
1%
Arthur Rinderknech
<1%
$17,532 Vol.
Carlos Alcaraz
25%
Alexander Zverev
31%
Novak Djokovic
19%
Ben Shelton
17%
Rafael Jodar
15%
Arthur Fils
12%
Taylor Fritz
11%
Daniil Medvedev
7%
Jakub Mensik
6%
Alexander Bublik
24%
Felix Auger-Aliassime
5%
Alex de Minaur
5%
Brandon Nakashima
5%
Jiri Lehecka
5%
Thanasi Kokkinakis
4%
Michael Zheng
4%
Filip Misolic
4%
J.J. Wolf
4%
Carlos Taberner
4%
Flavio Cobolli
4%
Frances Tiafoe
4%
Casper Ruud
3%
Lorenzo Musetti
3%
Andrey Rublev
3%
Juncheng Shang
3%
Learner Tien
3%
Darwin Blanch
3%
Sebastian Gorzny
3%
Jack Kennedy
3%
Tommy Paul
3%
Luciano Darderi
3%
Valentin Vacherot
3%
Alejandro Tabilo
3%
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
3%
Cameron Norrie
2%
Gael Monfils
2%
Dane Sweeny
2%
Francisco Cerundolo
2%
Alexander Blockx
2%
Zizou Bergs
2%
Ugo Humbert
1%
Arthur Rinderknech
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Alexander Zverev enters the 2026 US Open as top seed with strong momentum from his French Open title and Wimbledon final, while defending champion Carlos Alcaraz returns from a four-month wrist layoff with minimal competitive match play. Jannik Sinner's withdrawal due to a right knee injury has opened the draw significantly on the hard courts at Flushing Meadows. Recent form favors players like Arthur Fils after his Cincinnati Masters 1000 victory and consistent performers such as Novak Djokovic and Ben Shelton, who bring experience and recent deep runs in majors or Masters events. The best-of-five format and New York conditions will test recovery and depth, shaping paths to the final amid a competitive field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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