Recent US sanctions targeting Iran's digital assets, technology, gold, aviation, and shipping sectors, combined with secondary measures against third-party traders and a naval blockade, have intensified pressure on the rial amid near-zero oil exports and sustained conflict. These factors, alongside annual inflation near 66 percent and disrupted foreign-exchange access, have driven the free-market USD/IRR rate to approximately 2.02 million in recent days. Trader consensus reflects the expectation that these conditions will hold the rate near current levels through month-end, with limited scope for rapid reversal before August 31 absent major diplomatic or enforcement shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated2.0-2.1M 62.1%
1.9-2.0M 19%
2.1-2.2M 10.2%
2.2M+ 9.1%
$131,336 Vol.
$131,336 Vol.
<1.7M
1%
1.7-1.8M
<1%
1.8-1.9M
2%
1.9-2.0M
19%
2.0-2.1M
62%
2.1-2.2M
10%
2.2M+
9%
2.0-2.1M 62.1%
1.9-2.0M 19%
2.1-2.2M 10.2%
2.2M+ 9.1%
$131,336 Vol.
$131,336 Vol.
<1.7M
1%
1.7-1.8M
<1%
1.8-1.9M
2%
1.9-2.0M
19%
2.0-2.1M
62%
2.1-2.2M
10%
2.2M+
9%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Jul 29, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent US sanctions targeting Iran's digital assets, technology, gold, aviation, and shipping sectors, combined with secondary measures against third-party traders and a naval blockade, have intensified pressure on the rial amid near-zero oil exports and sustained conflict. These factors, alongside annual inflation near 66 percent and disrupted foreign-exchange access, have driven the free-market USD/IRR rate to approximately 2.02 million in recent days. Trader consensus reflects the expectation that these conditions will hold the rate near current levels through month-end, with limited scope for rapid reversal before August 31 absent major diplomatic or enforcement shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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