**Trader consensus on USD/JPY's end-2026 close reflects closely matched probabilities for the 150-160 and 160-170 ranges, driven primarily by the evolving Fed-BoJ policy divergence.** Recent data show the pair near 160 amid a rebound from late-July coordinated intervention that briefly pushed it toward 155. Markets now price an 80%+ chance of a September BoJ hike to 1.25%, with further normalization likely, while Fed expectations remain anchored near current levels amid mixed inflation and labor signals. This narrowing yield gap supports yen appreciation over time, yet persistent structural factors and carry-trade dynamics sustain upside risk. Upcoming BoJ communications, September policy decision, and U.S. data releases will serve as key catalysts for shifts in these market-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated150-160 38%
160-170 35%
140-150 29.0%
<140 12%
NEW
NEW
Dec 30, 2026
<140
12%
140-150
23%
150-160
38%
160-170
35%
170-180
8%
180+
5%
150-160 38%
160-170 35%
140-150 29.0%
<140 12%
NEW
NEW
Dec 30, 2026
<140
$478 Vol.
12%
140-150
$189 Vol.
23%
150-160
$1,728 Vol.
38%
160-170
$287 Vol.
35%
170-180
$136 Vol.
8%
180+
$200 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the finalized Investing.com close price (“C”) for the USD/JPY daily candle on December 31, 2026.
Data for the December 31, 2026 candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Resolution will occur once the specified close price is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to data from the latest 2026 date available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “C” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.**Trader consensus on USD/JPY's end-2026 close reflects closely matched probabilities for the 150-160 and 160-170 ranges, driven primarily by the evolving Fed-BoJ policy divergence.** Recent data show the pair near 160 amid a rebound from late-July coordinated intervention that briefly pushed it toward 155. Markets now price an 80%+ chance of a September BoJ hike to 1.25%, with further normalization likely, while Fed expectations remain anchored near current levels amid mixed inflation and labor signals. This narrowing yield gap supports yen appreciation over time, yet persistent structural factors and carry-trade dynamics sustain upside risk. Upcoming BoJ communications, September policy decision, and U.S. data releases will serve as key catalysts for shifts in these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Investing.com close price (“C”) for the USD/JPY daily candle on December 31, 2026.
Data for the December 31, 2026 candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Resolution will occur once the specified close price is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to data from the latest 2026 date available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “C” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Data for the December 31, 2026 candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Resolution will occur once the specified close price is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to data from the latest 2026 date available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “C” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Jun 10, 2026, 4:49 PM ET
Volume
$3,017End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized Investing.com close price (“C”) for the USD/JPY daily candle on December 31, 2026.
Data for the December 31, 2026 candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Resolution will occur once the specified close price is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to data from the latest 2026 date available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “C” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.**Trader consensus on USD/JPY's end-2026 close reflects closely matched probabilities for the 150-160 and 160-170 ranges, driven primarily by the evolving Fed-BoJ policy divergence.** Recent data show the pair near 160 amid a rebound from late-July coordinated intervention that briefly pushed it toward 155. Markets now price an 80%+ chance of a September BoJ hike to 1.25%, with further normalization likely, while Fed expectations remain anchored near current levels amid mixed inflation and labor signals. This narrowing yield gap supports yen appreciation over time, yet persistent structural factors and carry-trade dynamics sustain upside risk. Upcoming BoJ communications, September policy decision, and U.S. data releases will serve as key catalysts for shifts in these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Investing.com close price (“C”) for the USD/JPY daily candle on December 31, 2026.
Data for the December 31, 2026 candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Resolution will occur once the specified close price is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to data from the latest 2026 date available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “C” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Data for the December 31, 2026 candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Resolution will occur once the specified close price is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to data from the latest 2026 date available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “C” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$3,017End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on USD/JPY's end-2026 close reflects closely matched probabilities for the 150-160 and 160-170 ranges, driven primarily by the evolving Fed-BoJ policy divergence.** Recent data show the pair near 160 amid a rebound from late-July coordinated intervention that briefly pushed it toward 155. Markets now price an 80%+ chance of a September BoJ hike to 1.25%, with further normalization likely, while Fed expectations remain anchored near current levels amid mixed inflation and labor signals. This narrowing yield gap supports yen appreciation over time, yet persistent structural factors and carry-trade dynamics sustain upside risk. Upcoming BoJ communications, September policy decision, and U.S. data releases will serve as key catalysts for shifts in these market-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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