SpaceX (SPCX) shares, which debuted via a record $75 billion IPO at $135 in June 2026 and briefly exceeded $225 before correcting sharply, traded near $140 in late August amid post-lockup volatility and heavy institutional positioning. Primary drivers include 92% year-over-year Q2 revenue growth to $7.8 billion, fueled by Starlink’s $11.4 billion 2025 contribution and new AI/cloud contracts with Anthropic and Google valued at a combined $26 billion annualized run rate, offset by elevated capex exceeding $20 billion and ongoing net losses. Market-implied odds reflect trader focus on execution risks around Starship reusability, margin expansion in connectivity, and broader risk appetite tied to Treasury yields and equity multiples, with recent analyst commentary highlighting attractive valuations relative to peers after the Louisiana spaceport announcement. The week of August 31 features limited immediate catalysts beyond ongoing volume from major holders like Fidelity and Alphabet.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated↑ $157.50
50%
↑ $155
50%
↑ $152.50
50%
↑ $150
50%
↑ $147.50
50%
↑ $145
50%
↑ $142.50
50%
↓ $140
50%
↓ $137.50
50%
↓ $135
50%
↓ $132.50
50%
↓ $130
50%
↓ $127.50
50%
↓ $125
50%
$0.00 Vol.
↑ $157.50
50%
↑ $155
50%
↑ $152.50
50%
↑ $150
50%
↑ $147.50
50%
↑ $145
50%
↑ $142.50
50%
↓ $140
50%
↓ $137.50
50%
↓ $135
50%
↓ $132.50
50%
↓ $130
50%
↓ $127.50
50%
↓ $125
50%
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the SpaceX (SPCX) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the SpaceX (SPCX) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX (SPCX) shares, which debuted via a record $75 billion IPO at $135 in June 2026 and briefly exceeded $225 before correcting sharply, traded near $140 in late August amid post-lockup volatility and heavy institutional positioning. Primary drivers include 92% year-over-year Q2 revenue growth to $7.8 billion, fueled by Starlink’s $11.4 billion 2025 contribution and new AI/cloud contracts with Anthropic and Google valued at a combined $26 billion annualized run rate, offset by elevated capex exceeding $20 billion and ongoing net losses. Market-implied odds reflect trader focus on execution risks around Starship reusability, margin expansion in connectivity, and broader risk appetite tied to Treasury yields and equity multiples, with recent analyst commentary highlighting attractive valuations relative to peers after the Louisiana spaceport announcement. The week of August 31 features limited immediate catalysts beyond ongoing volume from major holders like Fidelity and Alphabet.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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