SpaceX (SPCX) shares, which IPO'd at $135 in June before peaking above $225 and retreating to the $108 area in July, have rebounded nearly 30% in August on 92% year-over-year Q2 revenue growth driven by Starlink and AI-related activity, ending Aug. 28 near $141.50 with a market cap of roughly $1.9 trillion. The closely matched market-implied odds around the $120–125 and >$165 bins reflect ongoing volatility, elevated valuation multiples near 100x trailing sales, and the next major share lockup tranche due Sept. 9. Trader sentiment balances strong cash reserves and analyst targets above $200 against execution risks on Starship development and potential profit-taking.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated<$120 50%
$120-$125 50%
$125-$130 50%
$130-$135 50%
<$120
50%
$120-$125
50%
$125-$130
50%
$130-$135
50%
$135-$140
50%
$140-$145
50%
$145-$150
50%
$150-$155
50%
$155-$160
50%
$160-$165
50%
>$165
50%
<$120 50%
$120-$125 50%
$125-$130 50%
$130-$135 50%
<$120
50%
$120-$125
50%
$125-$130
50%
$130-$135
50%
$135-$140
50%
$140-$145
50%
$145-$150
50%
$150-$155
50%
$155-$160
50%
$160-$165
50%
>$165
50%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX (SPCX) shares, which IPO'd at $135 in June before peaking above $225 and retreating to the $108 area in July, have rebounded nearly 30% in August on 92% year-over-year Q2 revenue growth driven by Starlink and AI-related activity, ending Aug. 28 near $141.50 with a market cap of roughly $1.9 trillion. The closely matched market-implied odds around the $120–125 and >$165 bins reflect ongoing volatility, elevated valuation multiples near 100x trailing sales, and the next major share lockup tranche due Sept. 9. Trader sentiment balances strong cash reserves and analyst targets above $200 against execution risks on Starship development and potential profit-taking.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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