Recent polling from Pew Research, the Yale Youth Poll, and Third Way consistently shows Democratic candidates leading Republicans by double-digit margins among registered and likely young male voters (ages 18-29) on the generic congressional ballot for the 2026 midterms. This edge stems from measurable shifts away from Republican support since 2024, including declining approval for the current administration among men ages 23-34, driven by economic pressures and policy outcomes. Surveys indicate higher Democratic preference among those most likely to turn out, with notable gains for Democrats in the past several months. The market's implied probabilities align with these patterns of voter intention among engaged young men, though lower overall turnout enthusiasm in the cohort could still influence final results.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
NEW
Nov 6, 2026
Democrats
80%
Republicans
18%
NEW
NEW
Nov 6, 2026
Democrats
$1,585 Vol.
80%
Republicans
$582 Vol.
18%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of men in the age range of 18-24 in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for men in the 18-24 age range, this market will resolve based on the narrowest age range that begins with the youngest age for which data is available.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by cbsnews.com or, should cbsnews.com also not provide applicable polling, foxnews.com.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Recent polling from Pew Research, the Yale Youth Poll, and Third Way consistently shows Democratic candidates leading Republicans by double-digit margins among registered and likely young male voters (ages 18-29) on the generic congressional ballot for the 2026 midterms. This edge stems from measurable shifts away from Republican support since 2024, including declining approval for the current administration among men ages 23-34, driven by economic pressures and policy outcomes. Surveys indicate higher Democratic preference among those most likely to turn out, with notable gains for Democrats in the past several months. The market's implied probabilities align with these patterns of voter intention among engaged young men, though lower overall turnout enthusiasm in the cohort could still influence final results.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of men in the age range of 18-24 in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for men in the 18-24 age range, this market will resolve based on the narrowest age range that begins with the youngest age for which data is available.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by cbsnews.com or, should cbsnews.com also not provide applicable polling, foxnews.com.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of men in the age range of 18-24 in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for men in the 18-24 age range, this market will resolve based on the narrowest age range that begins with the youngest age for which data is available.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by cbsnews.com or, should cbsnews.com also not provide applicable polling, foxnews.com.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Market Opened: Sep 2, 2026, 2:10 PM ET
Volume
$2,166End Date
Nov 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 2:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of men in the age range of 18-24 in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for men in the 18-24 age range, this market will resolve based on the narrowest age range that begins with the youngest age for which data is available.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by cbsnews.com or, should cbsnews.com also not provide applicable polling, foxnews.com.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Recent polling from Pew Research, the Yale Youth Poll, and Third Way consistently shows Democratic candidates leading Republicans by double-digit margins among registered and likely young male voters (ages 18-29) on the generic congressional ballot for the 2026 midterms. This edge stems from measurable shifts away from Republican support since 2024, including declining approval for the current administration among men ages 23-34, driven by economic pressures and policy outcomes. Surveys indicate higher Democratic preference among those most likely to turn out, with notable gains for Democrats in the past several months. The market's implied probabilities align with these patterns of voter intention among engaged young men, though lower overall turnout enthusiasm in the cohort could still influence final results.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of men in the age range of 18-24 in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for men in the 18-24 age range, this market will resolve based on the narrowest age range that begins with the youngest age for which data is available.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by cbsnews.com or, should cbsnews.com also not provide applicable polling, foxnews.com.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of men in the age range of 18-24 in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for men in the 18-24 age range, this market will resolve based on the narrowest age range that begins with the youngest age for which data is available.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by cbsnews.com or, should cbsnews.com also not provide applicable polling, foxnews.com.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$2,166End Date
Nov 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 2:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from Pew Research, the Yale Youth Poll, and Third Way consistently shows Democratic candidates leading Republicans by double-digit margins among registered and likely young male voters (ages 18-29) on the generic congressional ballot for the 2026 midterms. This edge stems from measurable shifts away from Republican support since 2024, including declining approval for the current administration among men ages 23-34, driven by economic pressures and policy outcomes. Surveys indicate higher Democratic preference among those most likely to turn out, with notable gains for Democrats in the past several months. The market's implied probabilities align with these patterns of voter intention among engaged young men, though lower overall turnout enthusiasm in the cohort could still influence final results.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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