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Politics·Celebrities

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

icon for Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
Politics·Celebrities

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

$1,084,417 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$1,084,417 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Gavin Newsom

Gavin Newsom

$77,936 Vol.

13%

icon for Rahm Emanuel

Rahm Emanuel

$12,861 Vol.

10%

icon for Jon Stewart

Jon Stewart

$3,807 Vol.

10%

icon for Kamala Harris

Kamala Harris

$56,841 Vol.

10%

icon for Don Lemon

Don Lemon

$1,887 Vol.

9%

icon for Tucker Carlson

Tucker Carlson

$28,072 Vol.

9%

icon for Glenn Youngkin

Glenn Youngkin

$6,094 Vol.

9%

icon for Pete Buttigieg

Pete Buttigieg

$14,963 Vol.

9%

icon for Ted Cruz

Ted Cruz

$16,104 Vol.

8%

icon for Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$48,989 Vol.

8%

icon for Stephen A. Smith

Stephen A. Smith

$17,334 Vol.

8%

icon for Raphael Warnock

Raphael Warnock

$3,164 Vol.

8%

icon for Mark Kelly

Mark Kelly

$10,267 Vol.

8%

icon for Donald Trump Jr.

Donald Trump Jr.

$7,374 Vol.

8%

icon for Matt Gaetz

Matt Gaetz

$2,964 Vol.

8%

icon for Marjorie Taylor Greene

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$20,464 Vol.

8%

icon for Ron DeSantis

Ron DeSantis

$2,462 Vol.

7%

icon for Andy Beshear

Andy Beshear

$19,313 Vol.

7%

icon for Brian Kemp

Brian Kemp

$3,463 Vol.

7%

icon for J.B. Pritzker

J.B. Pritzker

$3,640 Vol.

7%

icon for Vivek Ramaswamy

Vivek Ramaswamy

$8,198 Vol.

7%

icon for Donald Trump

Donald Trump

$60,904 Vol.

6%

icon for Steve Bannon

Steve Bannon

$17,133 Vol.

6%

icon for Gretchen Whitmer

Gretchen Whitmer

$4,353 Vol.

6%

icon for Cory Booker

Cory Booker

$15,666 Vol.

6%

icon for J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance

$31,417 Vol.

6%

icon for Mark Cuban

Mark Cuban

$8,535 Vol.

6%

icon for Josh Shapiro

Josh Shapiro

$10,823 Vol.

6%

icon for George Clooney

George Clooney

$5,270 Vol.

6%

icon for Hunter Biden

Hunter Biden

$54,594 Vol.

5%

icon for Beto O’Rourke

Beto O’Rourke

$10,168 Vol.

5%

icon for Rand Paul

Rand Paul

$19,821 Vol.

5%

icon for Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$15,302 Vol.

4%

icon for Ivanka Trump

Ivanka Trump

$35,311 Vol.

4%

icon for Candace Owens

Candace Owens

$9,249 Vol.

4%

icon for Gina Raimondo

Gina Raimondo

$4,240 Vol.

4%

icon for Kristi Noem

Kristi Noem

$19,834 Vol.

4%

icon for Nikki Haley

Nikki Haley

$3,677 Vol.

4%

icon for John Thune

John Thune

$4,969 Vol.

4%

icon for Marco Rubio

Marco Rubio

$11,171 Vol.

4%

icon for Greg Abbott

Greg Abbott

$4,077 Vol.

4%

icon for John Fetterman

John Fetterman

$7,180 Vol.

3%

icon for Erika Kirk

Erika Kirk

$25,681 Vol.

3%

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$9,469 Vol.

3%

icon for Wes Moore

Wes Moore

$6,881 Vol.

3%

icon for Tom Brady

Tom Brady

$9,673 Vol.

3%

icon for Bernie Sanders

Bernie Sanders

$4,051 Vol.

3%

icon for Jon Ossoff

Jon Ossoff

$22,380 Vol.

3%

icon for Zohran Mamdani

Zohran Mamdani

$35,717 Vol.

3%

icon for LeBron James

LeBron James

$15,973 Vol.

3%

icon for Mike Pence

Mike Pence

$15,576 Vol.

3%

icon for Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$10,852 Vol.

3%

icon for Liz Cheney

Liz Cheney

$2,844 Vol.

3%

icon for Josh Hawley

Josh Hawley

$8,040 Vol.

3%

icon for Michelle Obama

Michelle Obama

$14,557 Vol.

2%

icon for Kim Kardashian

Kim Kardashian

$6,582 Vol.

2%

icon for MrBeast

MrBeast

$29,152 Vol.

2%

icon for Jared Polis

Jared Polis

$6,169 Vol.

2%

icon for Elise Stefanik

Elise Stefanik

$3,733 Vol.

2%

icon for Tulsi Gabbard

Tulsi Gabbard

$6,428 Vol.

2%

icon for Hillary Clinton

Hillary Clinton

$14,230 Vol.

2%

icon for Katie Britt

Katie Britt

$26,095 Vol.

2%

icon for Phil Murphy

Phil Murphy

$3,910 Vol.

2%

icon for Tim Walz

Tim Walz

$5,863 Vol.

2%

icon for Barack Obama

Barack Obama

$11,020 Vol.

2%

icon for Roy Cooper

Roy Cooper

$6,866 Vol.

1%

icon for Chelsea Clinton

Chelsea Clinton

$13,431 Vol.

1%

icon for Oprah Winfrey

Oprah Winfrey

$16,666 Vol.

1%

icon for Byron Donalds

Byron Donalds

$10,199 Vol.

1%

icon for Sarah Huckabee Sanders

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$7,994 Vol.

1%

icon for Andrew Yang

Andrew Yang

$14,494 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No major candidates have formally announced 2028 presidential bids as of late August 2026, though early positioning continues ahead of the November midterms. Vice President JD Vance leads Republican polling and markets, with figures such as Secretary of State Marco Rubio, Senator Ted Cruz, and others receiving mentions in recent surveys and statements. On the Democratic side, names including Gavin Newsom, Kamala Harris, Pete Buttigieg, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, and Jon Ossoff appear in polls and exploratory comments, with several senators and governors describing themselves as open or “kicking the tires.” Historical patterns show most serious announcements clustering after midterms through early 2027, keeping the pre-2027 window fluid and dependent on post-election momentum, endorsements, and candidate statements.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,084,417
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No major candidates have formally announced 2028 presidential bids as of late August 2026, though early positioning continues ahead of the November midterms. Vice President JD Vance leads Republican polling and markets, with figures such as Secretary of State Marco Rubio, Senator Ted Cruz, and others receiving mentions in recent surveys and statements. On the Democratic side, names including Gavin Newsom, Kamala Harris, Pete Buttigieg, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, and Jon Ossoff appear in polls and exploratory comments, with several senators and governors describing themselves as open or “kicking the tires.” Historical patterns show most serious announcements clustering after midterms through early 2027, keeping the pre-2027 window fluid and dependent on post-election momentum, endorsements, and candidate statements.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,084,417
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 71+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 13%, followed by "Rahm Emanuel" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 13¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?" has generated $1.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 19, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?," browse the 71+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?" is "Gavin Newsom" at 13%, meaning the market assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Rahm Emanuel" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.