**Trader consensus at 99.8% for "No" reflects the absence of any active normalization talks approaching completion in the final 48 hours before the August 31, 2026 deadline.** Diplomatic processes for Abraham Accords accession involve sustained bilateral negotiations, U.S. facilitation, public announcements, and formal ceremonies that rarely conclude without weeks or months of advance signaling. Recent developments, including the August 26 White House transmission of a Saudi civil nuclear cooperation agreement to Congress conditioned on Riyadh's normalization with Israel, underscore ongoing hurdles tied to Palestinian statehood issues and regional alignments involving Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan. Kazakhstan's 2025 accession remains the most recent addition, while candidates such as Saudi Arabia, Syria, and Indonesia show no near-term movement. A last-minute surprise signing by a smaller state remains theoretically possible but lacks supporting indicators in official statements or diplomatic reporting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated<1% chance
$56,848 Vol.
$56,848 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<1% chance
$56,848 Vol.
$56,848 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus at 99.8% for "No" reflects the absence of any active normalization talks approaching completion in the final 48 hours before the August 31, 2026 deadline.** Diplomatic processes for Abraham Accords accession involve sustained bilateral negotiations, U.S. facilitation, public announcements, and formal ceremonies that rarely conclude without weeks or months of advance signaling. Recent developments, including the August 26 White House transmission of a Saudi civil nuclear cooperation agreement to Congress conditioned on Riyadh's normalization with Israel, underscore ongoing hurdles tied to Palestinian statehood issues and regional alignments involving Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan. Kazakhstan's 2025 accession remains the most recent addition, while candidates such as Saudi Arabia, Syria, and Indonesia show no near-term movement.
A last-minute surprise signing by a smaller state remains theoretically possible but lacks supporting indicators in official statements or diplomatic reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 2:10 PM ET
Volume
$56,848End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 2:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus at 99.8% for "No" reflects the absence of any active normalization talks approaching completion in the final 48 hours before the August 31, 2026 deadline.** Diplomatic processes for Abraham Accords accession involve sustained bilateral negotiations, U.S. facilitation, public announcements, and formal ceremonies that rarely conclude without weeks or months of advance signaling. Recent developments, including the August 26 White House transmission of a Saudi civil nuclear cooperation agreement to Congress conditioned on Riyadh's normalization with Israel, underscore ongoing hurdles tied to Palestinian statehood issues and regional alignments involving Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan. Kazakhstan's 2025 accession remains the most recent addition, while candidates such as Saudi Arabia, Syria, and Indonesia show no near-term movement.
A last-minute surprise signing by a smaller state remains theoretically possible but lacks supporting indicators in official statements or diplomatic reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$56,848End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 2:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Trader consensus at 99.8% for "No" reflects the absence of any active normalization talks approaching completion in the final 48 hours before the August 31, 2026 deadline.** Diplomatic processes for Abraham Accords accession involve sustained bilateral negotiations, U.S. facilitation, public announcements, and formal ceremonies that rarely conclude without weeks or months of advance signaling. Recent developments, including the August 26 White House transmission of a Saudi civil nuclear cooperation agreement to Congress conditioned on Riyadh's normalization with Israel, underscore ongoing hurdles tied to Palestinian statehood issues and regional alignments involving Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan. Kazakhstan's 2025 accession remains the most recent addition, while candidates such as Saudi Arabia, Syria, and Indonesia show no near-term movement. A last-minute surprise signing by a smaller state remains theoretically possible but lacks supporting indicators in official statements or diplomatic reporting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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