EUR/USD trades near 1.166 as of late August 2026, shaped primarily by the narrowing interest-rate differential between the ECB and Federal Reserve. Markets price an 80-90% probability of a 25-basis-point ECB deposit-rate hike to 2.50% at the September 10 meeting, versus roughly 30-38% odds of a Fed hike from the current 3.50-3.75% range. Recent US core PCE inflation at an expected 3.3% year-over-year remains well above the Fed’s 2% target, while euro-area flash PMIs and IFO data signal resilient activity amid energy-price pressures. Key near-term catalysts include the August 27-28 Jackson Hole Symposium featuring new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, upcoming FOMC minutes, and September central-bank decisions that will clarify whether the policy gap compresses further and supports euro strength through year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$89,191 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
↑ 1.40
3%
↑ 1.35
4%
↑ 1.30
7%
↑ 1.26
7%
↑ 1.24
9%
↑ 1.22
31%
↑ 1.20
37%
↓ 1.12
28%
↓ 1.10
29%
↓ 1.05
8%
↓ 1.00
5%
$89,191 Vol.
↑ 1.40
$2,114 Vol.
3%
↑ 1.35
$1,579 Vol.
4%
↑ 1.30
$901 Vol.
7%
↑ 1.26
$3,132 Vol.
7%
↑ 1.24
$2,438 Vol.
9%
↑ 1.22
$409 Vol.
31%
↑ 1.20
$41,004 Vol.
37%
↓ 1.12
$2,826 Vol.
28%
↓ 1.10
$3,945 Vol.
29%
↓ 1.05
$6,363 Vol.
8%
↓ 1.00
$4,490 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).EUR/USD trades near 1.166 as of late August 2026, shaped primarily by the narrowing interest-rate differential between the ECB and Federal Reserve. Markets price an 80-90% probability of a 25-basis-point ECB deposit-rate hike to 2.50% at the September 10 meeting, versus roughly 30-38% odds of a Fed hike from the current 3.50-3.75% range. Recent US core PCE inflation at an expected 3.3% year-over-year remains well above the Fed’s 2% target, while euro-area flash PMIs and IFO data signal resilient activity amid energy-price pressures. Key near-term catalysts include the August 27-28 Jackson Hole Symposium featuring new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, upcoming FOMC minutes, and September central-bank decisions that will clarify whether the policy gap compresses further and supports euro strength through year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Market Opened: Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ET
Volume
$89,191End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).EUR/USD trades near 1.166 as of late August 2026, shaped primarily by the narrowing interest-rate differential between the ECB and Federal Reserve. Markets price an 80-90% probability of a 25-basis-point ECB deposit-rate hike to 2.50% at the September 10 meeting, versus roughly 30-38% odds of a Fed hike from the current 3.50-3.75% range. Recent US core PCE inflation at an expected 3.3% year-over-year remains well above the Fed’s 2% target, while euro-area flash PMIs and IFO data signal resilient activity amid energy-price pressures. Key near-term catalysts include the August 27-28 Jackson Hole Symposium featuring new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, upcoming FOMC minutes, and September central-bank decisions that will clarify whether the policy gap compresses further and supports euro strength through year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Volume
$89,191End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...EUR/USD trades near 1.166 as of late August 2026, shaped primarily by the narrowing interest-rate differential between the ECB and Federal Reserve. Markets price an 80-90% probability of a 25-basis-point ECB deposit-rate hike to 2.50% at the September 10 meeting, versus roughly 30-38% odds of a Fed hike from the current 3.50-3.75% range. Recent US core PCE inflation at an expected 3.3% year-over-year remains well above the Fed’s 2% target, while euro-area flash PMIs and IFO data signal resilient activity amid energy-price pressures. Key near-term catalysts include the August 27-28 Jackson Hole Symposium featuring new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, upcoming FOMC minutes, and September central-bank decisions that will clarify whether the policy gap compresses further and supports euro strength through year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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