**Wisconsin’s August 11 Democratic gubernatorial primary produced a narrow certified result, with David Crowley at 39.8% and Francesca Hong at 39.4% (roughly 3,279 votes apart out of 788,000 cast).** The Wisconsin Elections Commission completed certification on August 25 after county canvassing concluded. State law requires no automatic recount; a trailing candidate must file a request within three business days after the final county statement reaches the commission, and the margin must be within 1% to qualify. At the observed 0.42% spread, the requester would bear the full cost. As of August 27, no recount petition has been filed, the request window is closing or closed, and the outcome has been treated as final by party officials and the media. Traders assign 99.9% probability to “No” because the procedural timeline and absence of any formal challenge make an order by August 31 effectively impossible. A recount could still be triggered only by an eleventh-hour filing from Hong (or a successful legal challenge altering the certification timeline), but no such action or statement has materialized in the days since certification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated<1% chance
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NEW
Aug 31, 2026
<1% chance
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Aug 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order under Wis. Stat. § 9.01 directing an official recount of the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Eastern Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request, eligibility for a recount, filing of a recount petition, or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order directing a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it.
A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must be conducted pursuant to Wis. Stat. § 9.01 for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary.
Minor administrative re-tallies, routine audits, and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Wisconsin’s August 11 Democratic gubernatorial primary produced a narrow certified result, with David Crowley at 39.8% and Francesca Hong at 39.4% (roughly 3,279 votes apart out of 788,000 cast).** The Wisconsin Elections Commission completed certification on August 25 after county canvassing concluded. State law requires no automatic recount; a trailing candidate must file a request within three business days after the final county statement reaches the commission, and the margin must be within 1% to qualify. At the observed 0.42% spread, the requester would bear the full cost.
As of August 27, no recount petition has been filed, the request window is closing or closed, and the outcome has been treated as final by party officials and the media. Traders assign 99.9% probability to “No” because the procedural timeline and absence of any formal challenge make an order by August 31 effectively impossible. A recount could still be triggered only by an eleventh-hour filing from Hong (or a successful legal challenge altering the certification timeline), but no such action or statement has materialized in the days since certification.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order under Wis. Stat. § 9.01 directing an official recount of the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Eastern Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request, eligibility for a recount, filing of a recount petition, or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order directing a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it.
A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must be conducted pursuant to Wis. Stat. § 9.01 for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary.
Minor administrative re-tallies, routine audits, and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request, eligibility for a recount, filing of a recount petition, or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order directing a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it.
A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must be conducted pursuant to Wis. Stat. § 9.01 for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary.
Minor administrative re-tallies, routine audits, and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 10:18 AM ET
Volume
$2,416End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 10:18 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order under Wis. Stat. § 9.01 directing an official recount of the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Eastern Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request, eligibility for a recount, filing of a recount petition, or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order directing a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it.
A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must be conducted pursuant to Wis. Stat. § 9.01 for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary.
Minor administrative re-tallies, routine audits, and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Wisconsin’s August 11 Democratic gubernatorial primary produced a narrow certified result, with David Crowley at 39.8% and Francesca Hong at 39.4% (roughly 3,279 votes apart out of 788,000 cast).** The Wisconsin Elections Commission completed certification on August 25 after county canvassing concluded. State law requires no automatic recount; a trailing candidate must file a request within three business days after the final county statement reaches the commission, and the margin must be within 1% to qualify. At the observed 0.42% spread, the requester would bear the full cost.
As of August 27, no recount petition has been filed, the request window is closing or closed, and the outcome has been treated as final by party officials and the media. Traders assign 99.9% probability to “No” because the procedural timeline and absence of any formal challenge make an order by August 31 effectively impossible. A recount could still be triggered only by an eleventh-hour filing from Hong (or a successful legal challenge altering the certification timeline), but no such action or statement has materialized in the days since certification.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order under Wis. Stat. § 9.01 directing an official recount of the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Eastern Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request, eligibility for a recount, filing of a recount petition, or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order directing a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it.
A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must be conducted pursuant to Wis. Stat. § 9.01 for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary.
Minor administrative re-tallies, routine audits, and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request, eligibility for a recount, filing of a recount petition, or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order directing a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it.
A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must be conducted pursuant to Wis. Stat. § 9.01 for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary.
Minor administrative re-tallies, routine audits, and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,416End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 10:18 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Wisconsin’s August 11 Democratic gubernatorial primary produced a narrow certified result, with David Crowley at 39.8% and Francesca Hong at 39.4% (roughly 3,279 votes apart out of 788,000 cast).** The Wisconsin Elections Commission completed certification on August 25 after county canvassing concluded. State law requires no automatic recount; a trailing candidate must file a request within three business days after the final county statement reaches the commission, and the margin must be within 1% to qualify. At the observed 0.42% spread, the requester would bear the full cost. As of August 27, no recount petition has been filed, the request window is closing or closed, and the outcome has been treated as final by party officials and the media. Traders assign 99.9% probability to “No” because the procedural timeline and absence of any formal challenge make an order by August 31 effectively impossible. A recount could still be triggered only by an eleventh-hour filing from Hong (or a successful legal challenge altering the certification timeline), but no such action or statement has materialized in the days since certification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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