David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor on August 11, 2026, defeating state Representative Francesca Hong by roughly 3,800 votes out of nearly 792,000 cast. His late reentry into the race, backed by an endorsement from retiring Governor Tony Evers and other party establishment figures, consolidated support in Milwaukee County and among moderate voters wary of Hong’s democratic socialist platform. Multiple candidate withdrawals, including Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez amid campaign finance issues, further narrowed the field and shifted momentum. Recent polling had shown Hong ahead by double digits, yet final tallies reflected Crowley’s stronger performance in key regions and turnout patterns favoring his profile as Milwaukee County executive. With results already certified near 39.8% to 39.3%, the 0.4–0.6% bracket dominates trader consensus. Late adjustments from provisional ballots or recounts remain possible but unlikely to shift the outcome outside that narrow range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCrowley 0.4–0.6% 98.0%
Crowley 0.2–0.4% 1.7%
Crowley 0.6–0.8% <1%
Crowley <0.2% <1%
$217,068 Vol.
$217,068 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
Crowley <0.2%
<1%
Crowley 0.2–0.4%
2%
Crowley 0.4–0.6%
98%
Crowley 0.6–0.8%
<1%
Crowley 0.8–1%
<1%
Crowley 1–1.2%
<1%
Crowley 1.2–1.4%
<1%
Crowley 1.4–1.6%
<1%
Crowley 1.6–1.8%
<1%
Crowley 1.8–2%
<1%
Crowley 2%+
<1%
Crowley 0.4–0.6% 98.0%
Crowley 0.2–0.4% 1.7%
Crowley 0.6–0.8% <1%
Crowley <0.2% <1%
$217,068 Vol.
$217,068 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
Crowley <0.2%
$38,598 Vol.
<1%
Crowley 0.2–0.4%
$42,033 Vol.
2%
Crowley 0.4–0.6%
$39,107 Vol.
98%
Crowley 0.6–0.8%
$30,542 Vol.
<1%
Crowley 0.8–1%
$27,556 Vol.
<1%
Crowley 1–1.2%
$30,077 Vol.
<1%
Crowley 1.2–1.4%
$1,194 Vol.
<1%
Crowley 1.4–1.6%
$1,140 Vol.
<1%
Crowley 1.6–1.8%
$1,181 Vol.
<1%
Crowley 1.8–2%
$1,261 Vol.
<1%
Crowley 2%+
$521 Vol.
<1%
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor on August 11, 2026, defeating state Representative Francesca Hong by roughly 3,800 votes out of nearly 792,000 cast. His late reentry into the race, backed by an endorsement from retiring Governor Tony Evers and other party establishment figures, consolidated support in Milwaukee County and among moderate voters wary of Hong’s democratic socialist platform. Multiple candidate withdrawals, including Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez amid campaign finance issues, further narrowed the field and shifted momentum. Recent polling had shown Hong ahead by double digits, yet final tallies reflected Crowley’s stronger performance in key regions and turnout patterns favoring his profile as Milwaukee County executive. With results already certified near 39.8% to 39.3%, the 0.4–0.6% bracket dominates trader consensus. Late adjustments from provisional ballots or recounts remain possible but unlikely to shift the outcome outside that narrow range.
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Volume
$217,068End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor on August 11, 2026, defeating state Representative Francesca Hong by roughly 3,800 votes out of nearly 792,000 cast. His late reentry into the race, backed by an endorsement from retiring Governor Tony Evers and other party establishment figures, consolidated support in Milwaukee County and among moderate voters wary of Hong’s democratic socialist platform. Multiple candidate withdrawals, including Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez amid campaign finance issues, further narrowed the field and shifted momentum. Recent polling had shown Hong ahead by double digits, yet final tallies reflected Crowley’s stronger performance in key regions and turnout patterns favoring his profile as Milwaukee County executive. With results already certified near 39.8% to 39.3%, the 0.4–0.6% bracket dominates trader consensus. Late adjustments from provisional ballots or recounts remain possible but unlikely to shift the outcome outside that narrow range.
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$217,068End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor on August 11, 2026, defeating state Representative Francesca Hong by roughly 3,800 votes out of nearly 792,000 cast. His late reentry into the race, backed by an endorsement from retiring Governor Tony Evers and other party establishment figures, consolidated support in Milwaukee County and among moderate voters wary of Hong’s democratic socialist platform. Multiple candidate withdrawals, including Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez amid campaign finance issues, further narrowed the field and shifted momentum. Recent polling had shown Hong ahead by double digits, yet final tallies reflected Crowley’s stronger performance in key regions and turnout patterns favoring his profile as Milwaukee County executive. With results already certified near 39.8% to 39.3%, the 0.4–0.6% bracket dominates trader consensus. Late adjustments from provisional ballots or recounts remain possible but unlikely to shift the outcome outside that narrow range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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