**Rhode Island's Republican primary for governor, scheduled for September 9, 2026, features a contest between Aaron Guckian and Elaine Pelino after other declared candidates withdrew or failed to qualify.** Guckian secured the state party endorsement at the June 2026 convention by a 72-44 delegate vote and holds advantages in fundraising, prior statewide experience as the 2022 lieutenant governor nominee, and established ties within the party. Pelino, a political newcomer and self-described constitutional conservative, leads recent polling among likely primary voters, including a June University of New Hampshire survey and an August Embold Research poll showing her ahead amid high undecided shares. Low expected turnout in Rhode Island's GOP primary amplifies the influence of motivated voter segments, while Guckian's endorsement provides ballot positioning and organizational support. The market's heavy weighting toward Pelino reflects trader assessments of these polling dynamics and primary mechanics ahead of early voting that began August 20.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedElaine Pelino 87%
Aaron Guckian 13.4%
Robert Raimondo <1%
Ashley Kalus <1%
$40,705 Vol.
$40,705 Vol.
Elaine Pelino
87%
Aaron Guckian
13%
Robert Raimondo
<1%
Ashley Kalus
<1%
Jessica de la Cruz
<1%
Elaine Pelino 87%
Aaron Guckian 13.4%
Robert Raimondo <1%
Ashley Kalus <1%
$40,705 Vol.
$40,705 Vol.
Elaine Pelino
87%
Aaron Guckian
13%
Robert Raimondo
<1%
Ashley Kalus
<1%
Jessica de la Cruz
<1%
If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Dec 10, 2025, 11:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Rhode Island's Republican primary for governor, scheduled for September 9, 2026, features a contest between Aaron Guckian and Elaine Pelino after other declared candidates withdrew or failed to qualify.** Guckian secured the state party endorsement at the June 2026 convention by a 72-44 delegate vote and holds advantages in fundraising, prior statewide experience as the 2022 lieutenant governor nominee, and established ties within the party. Pelino, a political newcomer and self-described constitutional conservative, leads recent polling among likely primary voters, including a June University of New Hampshire survey and an August Embold Research poll showing her ahead amid high undecided shares. Low expected turnout in Rhode Island's GOP primary amplifies the influence of motivated voter segments, while Guckian's endorsement provides ballot positioning and organizational support. The market's heavy weighting toward Pelino reflects trader assessments of these polling dynamics and primary mechanics ahead of early voting that began August 20.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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