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icon for Florida Republican Governor Primary: Byron Donalds Vote Share
Politics·Florida

Florida Republican Governor Primary: Byron Donalds Vote Share

icon for Florida Republican Governor Primary: Byron Donalds Vote Share
Politics·Florida

Florida Republican Governor Primary: Byron Donalds Vote Share

$2,137 Vol.

Aug 18, 2026
Polymarket

$2,137 Vol.

Polymarket

≥30%

$879 Vol.

100%

≥40%

$84 Vol.

98%

≥45%

$102 Vol.

98%

≥50%

$377 Vol.

3%

≥55%

$0 Vol.

<1%

≥60%

$78 Vol.

1%

≥65%

$157 Vol.

1%

≥75%

$205 Vol.

48%

≥85%

$255 Vol.

8%

Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Byron Donalds wins at least the specified percentage of the valid votes cast in the Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Byron Donalds secured the Republican nomination for Florida governor in the August 18, 2026 primary, receiving approximately 47.8% of the vote against a crowded field that included Lt. Gov. Jay Collins (25%), James Fishback (10.5%), and Paul Renner (8.5%). His victory reflected sustained polling leads of 30 points or more in the final months, driven by early and consistent endorsement from President Trump, superior fundraising exceeding $90 million, and broad support across Republican voter groups and media markets. DeSantis remained neutral amid tensions between his administration allies and Trump-aligned factions. With the primary concluded and official tallies released, market resolution hinges on final certified vote shares and any minor procedural adjustments.

Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Byron Donalds wins at least the specified percentage of the valid votes cast in the Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$2,137
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 3:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Byron Donalds wins at least the specified percentage of the valid votes cast in the Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Byron Donalds wins at least the specified percentage of the valid votes cast in the Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Byron Donalds secured the Republican nomination for Florida governor in the August 18, 2026 primary, receiving approximately 47.8% of the vote against a crowded field that included Lt. Gov. Jay Collins (25%), James Fishback (10.5%), and Paul Renner (8.5%). His victory reflected sustained polling leads of 30 points or more in the final months, driven by early and consistent endorsement from President Trump, superior fundraising exceeding $90 million, and broad support across Republican voter groups and media markets. DeSantis remained neutral amid tensions between his administration allies and Trump-aligned factions. With the primary concluded and official tallies released, market resolution hinges on final certified vote shares and any minor procedural adjustments.

Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Byron Donalds wins at least the specified percentage of the valid votes cast in the Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$2,137
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 3:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Byron Donalds wins at least the specified percentage of the valid votes cast in the Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Florida Republican Governor Primary: Byron Donalds Vote Share" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "≥30%" at 100%, followed by "≥40%" at 98%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Florida Republican Governor Primary: Byron Donalds Vote Share" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 18, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Florida Republican Governor Primary: Byron Donalds Vote Share," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Florida Republican Governor Primary: Byron Donalds Vote Share" is "≥30%" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "≥40%" at 98%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Florida Republican Governor Primary: Byron Donalds Vote Share" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.