Aryna Sabalenka enters as the two-time defending champion and top seed on the hard courts where her power game has historically thrived, yet recent inconsistencies after her Indian Wells-Miami double have tempered her edge. Coco Gauff’s Cincinnati title and strong summer hard-court results, paired with Iga Swiatek’s Toronto crown and semifinal run, keep the top three closely bunched in trader consensus. Elena Rybakina’s ankle injury and ranking chase add uncertainty, while emerging threats like Mirra Andreeva, Alexandra Eala, and Naomi Osaka’s experience further compress probabilities across a deep field with no dominant form leader.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAryna Sabalenka 22%
Coco Gauff 15.8%
Iga Swiatek 15%
Naomi Osaka 7.3%
$7,127,213 Vol.
$7,127,213 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
22%
Coco Gauff
16%
Iga Swiatek
15%
Naomi Osaka
7%
Mirra Andreeva
7%
Elena Rybakina
6%
Jessica Pegula
5%
Amanda Anisimova
4%
Alexandra Eala
4%
Linda Noskova
3%
Karolina Muchova
2%
Elina Svitolina
2%
Madison Keys
1%
Barbora Krejcikova
1%
Diana Shnaider
1%
Belinda Bencic
1%
Elise Mertens
1%
Emma Navarro
<1%
Qinwen Zheng
<1%
Jasmine Paolini
<1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
<1%
Tereza Valentova
<1%
Anastasia Potapova
<1%
Marie Bouzkova
<1%
Liudmila Samsonova
<1%
Paula Badosa
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Clara Tauson
<1%
Donna Vekic
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Xiyu Wang
<1%
Sofia Kenin
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Daria Kasatkina
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Marketa Vondrousova
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Victoria Mboko
<1%
Emma Raducanu
<1%
Katie Boulter
<1%
Aryna Sabalenka 22%
Coco Gauff 15.8%
Iga Swiatek 15%
Naomi Osaka 7.3%
$7,127,213 Vol.
$7,127,213 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
22%
Coco Gauff
16%
Iga Swiatek
15%
Naomi Osaka
7%
Mirra Andreeva
7%
Elena Rybakina
6%
Jessica Pegula
5%
Amanda Anisimova
4%
Alexandra Eala
4%
Linda Noskova
3%
Karolina Muchova
2%
Elina Svitolina
2%
Madison Keys
1%
Barbora Krejcikova
1%
Diana Shnaider
1%
Belinda Bencic
1%
Elise Mertens
1%
Emma Navarro
<1%
Qinwen Zheng
<1%
Jasmine Paolini
<1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
<1%
Tereza Valentova
<1%
Anastasia Potapova
<1%
Marie Bouzkova
<1%
Liudmila Samsonova
<1%
Paula Badosa
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Clara Tauson
<1%
Donna Vekic
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Xiyu Wang
<1%
Sofia Kenin
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Daria Kasatkina
<1%
Ashlyn Krueger
<1%
Marketa Vondrousova
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Victoria Mboko
<1%
Emma Raducanu
<1%
Katie Boulter
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Aryna Sabalenka enters as the two-time defending champion and top seed on the hard courts where her power game has historically thrived, yet recent inconsistencies after her Indian Wells-Miami double have tempered her edge. Coco Gauff’s Cincinnati title and strong summer hard-court results, paired with Iga Swiatek’s Toronto crown and semifinal run, keep the top three closely bunched in trader consensus. Elena Rybakina’s ankle injury and ranking chase add uncertainty, while emerging threats like Mirra Andreeva, Alexandra Eala, and Naomi Osaka’s experience further compress probabilities across a deep field with no dominant form leader.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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